Todd Helton also retiring

Helton played his entire career with the Colorado Rockies, where he posted excellent numbers and made five All Star games and won a Batting Title. His career Batting Average of .317, 367 Home Runs and 2,505 career Hits have a traditionalist happy, but as always the Sabremetrics tell a different story. His career OPS of .954 is excellent and good for 20th overall and his JAWS (53.8) while under the average for First Basemen (55.7) is sandwiched between Willie McCovey and Eddie Murray. However the statistic that takes into account the ballpark in which you play, OPS+ is 131, which is not a Hall of Fame calibre.

So is this a case where the Coors Field effect is in place again? It is well documented that playing in the thin air and large field has been a hitter’s paradise. It is also known that this is affecting the Cooperstown voters. Case in point: Larry Walker.

Walker has been on the Hall of Fame Ballot and has hovered above the 20% mark without any real reason to think he will improve in the next twelve years. Walker actually has a better JAWS (58.61) than Helton, a higher OPS (.965), a NL MVP award and did not play his entire career in Colorado.

From that basic analogy, is it safe to say that Todd Helton won’t get inducted?
Last modified on Thursday, 19 March 2015 18:47
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0 #3 Committee Chairman 2013-09-18 23:00
John. I live in Toronto, and I am sick of hearing about the Coors Field effect! As a Canadian, I am watching this penalize Walker, who as one of our own, is someone that I naturally gravitate to. Sadly, there is no article that you can find about Helton and the HOF in which Coors is not mentioned. Some of which are likely written who people who have a vote!

In a few months, we will be working on All-Time teams for every major franchise (big 4). Once we do the Rockies, Helton will get a lot of love here.
0 #2 Darryl Tahirali 2013-09-17 00:26
John Doe, the point I think is more to what effect the "Coors Effect" will have on Todd Helton's Hall chances and not to compare Helton and Larry Walker.

The article's point is that Hall voters seem to be penalizing Walker, who has been on the ballot for a couple of years, for having numbers that are supposedly inflated from his playing at Coors Field. And if voters are holding back Walker, who did not play his entire career in Colorado, then will they do the same thing to Helton, whose entire career has been spent with the Rockies?

Now, of the nine seasons Walker did play in Colorado, seven of those were in the "pre-humidor " era, before a humidor was used to normalize baseballs; that in turn depressed the offensive potential at Coors. By contrast, only Helton's first five seasons were pre-humidor. Part of this shakes down to home-road splits--is the home-field advantage pronounced? Helton's is: home: 345/.442/.60 7, 225 HR; away: .287/.386/.4 70, 142 HR. How significant that is merits further study.

Because Helton's "robbed" 2000 MVP year was pre-humidor, that is probably why Helton, who did post gaudy numbers that season, did not get as much MVP voting as did Jeff Kent even though Helton was more valuable in terms of WAR--Helton' s was 8.7 to Kent's 7.2. (Full disclosure: I'm a Giants fans and had no problem with Kent winning in 2000.)

As far as the Gold Gloves go, Helton looks better defensively in retrospect than does Derrek Lee, and he probably did get rooked, but I don't look too seriously at Gold Gloves--the old joke is that sometimes a guy doesn't hit well enough to earn one.

By the way, Helton and Walker did play the same number of seasons, but Walker missed a lot of games because of injury--Helt on has about 1370 more plate appearances and about 1000 more at-bats than does Walker. So, Helton's edge in hits, runs, and RBI has to be looked at in actual chances (at-bats), not in seasons, because Helton's actual at-bats are almost two years' worth more than Walker's. Doubles I'll grant you, though--Helt on was a doubles machine, and with a 315 home/271 road split on doubles, you can't pin that all on the huge outfield in Denver.

Apart from having to battle the Coors Effect, Helton will probably get knocked for being a first baseman who didn't get to 400 HR--first base is the prime power position--an d doubly so for playing at Coors during the high-offense period of the late 1990s and 2000s. But Helton has always been an excellent hitter, and he gets definite Hall consideratio n from me.
0 #1 John Doe 2013-09-16 07:04
Todd Helton career batting average .317, Larry Walker .313, Todd has 115 more doubles than Walker, 350 more hits than Walker, they both played 17 seasons, both were 5 time all stars, Todd also has more RBI's and runs scored in his career, Todd also has more walks and less strikeouts than Larry, Todd was robbed of the 2000 NL MVP award from Jeff Kent and was robbed of 2 Gold Gloves by Derek Lee in 2005 and 2007. JAWS, your basing Todd not getting in the HOF over some stupid SHIT.

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