Troy Aikman, Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Kurt Warner, Steve Young.
Quarterbacks: Troy Aikman, Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Kurt Warner, Steve Young.
Note that three of these QBs (Aikman, Marino & Young) competed in the 1990’s where offensive output is not what it is today. This is one of the reasons why we are adding Super Bowls and Super Bowl appearances to offset this and since Quarterbacks are graded on that accomplishment more than all other positions combined, it seems appropriate. Please also note that while Quarterbacks are not initially thought of based on their rushing totals, more and more pivots act as a dual threat, and this helps to offset those who aid their offense as much as with their legs as they do with their arm.
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Brady destroys every categorical average but Rushing Yards, but nobody cares about that. The ageless one won’t even require a discussion when he enters his first year of eligibility. This could be the biggest lock in Pro Football Hall of Fame discussion.
Like Brady, Brees falls below the Rushing Yard average, but unlike Brady he is lower in Super Bowls and First Team All-Pros in the Modern Categorical Average. None of that matters as he has the ring, could get another and is still adding to his all-time leading Passing Yard mark. He is first ballot and a headliner unless Brady retires in the same year that he does.
Going into 2019, Aaron Rodgers actually has a higher AV/G than Brady and Brees, and is only 5 Approximate Value Points form exceeding the MPA. A healthy Rodgers is a Pro Bowler, and that would make eight, which also gives him the MPA. He also only needs 3,178 Passing Yards for that metric’s MPA, and that should not be a problem for him. Rodgers has a Hall of Fame resume right now and another “Rodgers like” season puts him in lock category.
Roethlisberger’s two Super Bowl rings will be the first thing that anyone thinks about with “Big Ben”, but his lack of a First Team All-Pro does illustrate that he was never considered the best QB at any time of his career.
Ryan should pass the MPA for Approximate Value and Touchdown Passes this year and while this rank seems high, his overall stats at his age are in line with the top Quarterbacks on this list. Also, this is a former MVP and if he would have won that Super Bowl, he probably would be talked about a lot more than he currently is.
While Rivers has never been a First Team All-Pro or a Super Bowl participant, he does have the traditional stats that fit the MPA for a Quarterback. If he and the Chargers make (and win) a Super Bowl, he should be a lock.
Eli’s two Super Bowl wins will always keep in the conversation, but when looking at his AV/G and that he has yet to hit the Approximate Value for his respective MPA, he is in trouble; especially considering he could easily lose his starting QB job this year.
One of the few players with an AV/G over 1.0000, Wilson may not have a First Team All-Pro on his resume but he has the Super Bowl Ring and many years to go.
While Newton does not have the passing numbers, much of that is die to his legs as he is a true dual threat pivot. A former MVP, Newton is well over the AV/G for his position. As of this writing, Newton is the main reason we have added Rushing Yards and Rushing Touchdowns as MPAs for Quarterbacks.
Stafford is piling up good overall stats but he needs more than one Pro Bowl and a deep playoff run in his resume. He won’t get the latter this year.
Dalton has played his entire career with the Bengals and is still capable of a monster year that could catapult him up this list.
The hard luck Quarterback might lose his job to Dwayne Haskins this year but his overall career eclipses more QBs than you think.
While Joe Flacco has never been a Pro Bowl Selection, and isn’t likely to ever be one, he is a Super Bowl Championship Quarterback, and in this era that will mean he will be discussed for Canton.
Carr has been a Pro Bowl Selection three out of five years and Oakland is expected to be better this year. Could this equal a fourth Pro Bowl?
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