Quarterbacks (20)

Troy Aikman, Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Kurt Warner, Steve Young.

Modern Positional Average

Quarterbacks: Troy Aikman, Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Kurt Warner, Steve Young.


Note that three of these QBs (Aikman, Marino & Young) competed in the 1990’s where offensive output is not what it is today.  This is one of the reasons why we are adding Super Bowls and Super Bowl appearances to offset this and since Quarterbacks are graded on that accomplishment more than all other positions combined, it seems appropriate.  Please also note that while Quarterbacks are not initially thought of based on their rushing totals, more and more pivots act as a dual threat, and this helps to offset those who aid their offense as much as with their legs as they do with their arm.

*Note that this is the same as last year, as no modern era Quarterbacks were inducted in 2020.

Stats

  • Games 200.4
  • Approximate Value 175.5
  • AV/G 0.8752
  • Pro Bowls 7.4
  • First Team All-Pros 2.2
  • Passing Yards 46122
  • Touchdown Passes 306.6
  • Rushing Yards 1537.6
  • Rushing Touchdowns 15.8
  • Super Bowls 1.6
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2.6

Who else could be at #1?  Brady shocked the world by signing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, thus giving himself a new challenge.  Brady destroys every categorical average but Rushing Yards, but nobody cares about that.  There may never been a more deserving first ballot inductee in football than Brady, who will require no conversation among the committee. 

Stats

  • Games 285 (+84.6)
  • Approximate Value 280 (+104.5)
  • AV/G 0.9824 (+0.1072)
  • Pro Bowls 14 (+6.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 3 (+0.8)
  • Passing Yards 74571 (+28449)
  • Touchdown Passes 541 (+234.4)
  • Rushing Yards 1037 (-500.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 22 (+6.2)
  • Super Bowls 6 (+4.4)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 9 (+6.4)
Like Brady, Brees falls below the Rushing Yard average, but unlike Brady he is lower in Super Bowls and First Team All-Pros in the Modern Categorical Average.  None of that matters as he has that coveted Super Bowl ring, and he could get another and is still adding to his all-time leading Passing Yard mark.  He is first ballot and a headliner unless Brady retires in the same year that he does.  Notably, despite being over 40, his AV/G actually went up!

Stats

  • Games 275 (+74.6)
  • Approximate Value 267 (+91.5)
  • AV/G 0.9709 (+0.0957)
  • Pro Bowls 13 (+5.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.2)
  • Passing Yards 77416 (+31294)
  • Touchdown Passes 547 (+240.4)
  • Rushing Yards 754 (-783.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 23 (+7.2)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
Rodgers just came off his eighth Pro Bowl season, which now pushes him over the MPA for that stat, and he also moved over the MPA for Approximate Value.  He edged out Drew Brees to make the 2010s All-Decade Team, a huge accolade that bolsters his already Hall of Fame credentials.  Speaking of Brees, Rodgers has a higher AV/G than Brees (and Brady), and if he stays healthy, he will eclipse 50,000 career Passing Yards, and possibly 400 Passing Touchdowns this season.  We feel very comfortable moving him ahead of Adrian Peterson and Larry Fitzgerald making it three Quarterbacks at the top of our pecking order.

Stats

  • Games 181 (-19.4)
  • Approximate Value 184 (+8.5)
  • AV/G 1.0166 (+0.1414)
  • Pro Bowls 8 (+0.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 2 (-0.2)
  • Passing Yards 46946 (+824)
  • Touchdown Passes 364 (+57.4)
  • Rushing Yards 3122 (+1584.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 28 (+12.2)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
Roethlisberger’s two Super Bowl rings will be the first thing that anyone thinks about with “Big Ben”, but his lack of a First Team All-Pro does illustrate that he was never considered the best QB at any time of his career.  That being said, he already meets most of the MPA in most statistics and it will be interesting to see what Roethlisberger does in his comeback year.

Stats

  • Games 218 (+17.6)
  • Approximate Value 186 (+10.5)
  • AV/G 0.8532 (-0.022)
  • Pro Bowls 6 (-1.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 56545 (+10423)
  • Touchdown Passes 363 (+56.4)
  • Rushing Yards 1357 (-180.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 19 (+3.2)
  • Super Bowls 2 (+0.4)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (-0.6)

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We projected that Ryan would eclipse the MPA for Approximate Value and Touchdown Passes, which was precisely what he did.  A former MVP, had Ryan won that Super Bowl, he probably would be talked about a lot more than he currently is.  As it stands, he might be the most under-discussed about Quarterback in history.

Stats

  • Games 189 (-11.4)
  • Approximate Value 179 (+3.5)
  • AV/G 0.9471 (+0.0719)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-3.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.2)
  • Passing Yards 51186 (+5064)
  • Touchdown Passes 321 (+14.4)
  • Rushing Yards 1295 (-242.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 9 (-6.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
In 2019, Wilson was named an All-Pro (Second Team) for the first time in his career, and he added a sixth Pro Bowl.  While his Passing Yards is well below the MPA, he more than makes up for it with his feet and rushing ability.  As a Quarterback with a Super Bowl win, Wilson and the Seahawks could get another.

Stats

  • Games 128 (-72.4)
  • Approximate Value 129 (-46.5)
  • AV/G 1.0078 (+0.1326)
  • Pro Bowls 6 (-1.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 29734 (-16388)
  • Touchdown Passes 227 (-79.6)
  • Rushing Yards 3993 (+2455.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 19 (+3.2)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (-0.6)
After sixteen seasons as a Charger, Rivers takes over the Quarterback job for the Indianapolis Colts.  Statistically speaking, Rivers meets the requirements of a Hall of Fame Quarterback even in this era, but he needs that elusive Super Bowl, or at least an appearance.  That might not happen in Indianapolis, and we can’t stress enough how important that is for a Quarterback in regards to their Hall of Fame chances.

Stats

  • Games 228 (+27.6)
  • Approximate Value 204 (+28.5)
  • AV/G 0.8974 (+0.0222)
  • Pro Bowls 8 (+0.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 59271 (+13149)
  • Touchdown Passes 397 (+90.4)
  • Rushing Yards 609 (-928.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 3 (-12.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
For the record, we think the Carolina Panthers did Cam Newton dirty, but that is irrelevant now.  After a season where he could barely play due to injury, the Panthers cast their former MVP and Super Bowl participant away, and Newton signed a minimum deal with the Patriots.  If he bounces back to 90 percent of what he was, he will resume the Hall of Fame path.  Remember this is also a player with a 0.9840 AV/G, which is better than a lot of other elite Quarterbacks above him.

Stats

  • Games 125 (-75.4)
  • Approximate Value 123 (-52.5)
  • AV/G 0.9840 (+0.1088)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-4.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.2)
  • Passing Yards 28469 (-17653)
  • Touchdown Passes 182 (-124.6)
  • Rushing Yards 4808 (+3270.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 58 (+42.2)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)

When Mahomes won the AP MVP, we said to ourselves that is still too soon to rank the Quarterback.  Now, he is a Super Bowl Winner, Super Bowl MVP and an MVP.  Any player who has ever done that has entered Canton.  While we know he has only played three years (really two), his AV/G is the highest of anyone by far on this list.  If Mahomes’ career ended tomorrow, would the world of sports talk about him as a potential Hall of Famer?  You bet they would!

Stats

  • Games 31 (-169.4)
  • Approximate Value 40 (-135.5)
  • AV/G 1.2903 (+0.4151)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-5.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.2)
  • Passing Yards 9412 (-36710)
  • Touchdown Passes 176 (-130.6)
  • Rushing Yards 500 (-1037.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 4 (-11.8)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
Stafford is piling up good overall stats but he needs more than one Pro Bowl and a deep playoff run in his resume.  He won’t get the latter this year, and he feels like Philip Rivers without the Pro Bowls.

Stats

  • Games 149 (-51.4)
  • Approximate Value 118 (-57.5)
  • AV/G 0.7919 (-0.0833)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-6.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 41025 (-5097)
  • Touchdown Passes 256 (-50.6)
  • Rushing Yards 1086 (-451.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 14 (-1.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
Yeah, we know.  Jackson has only been in the NFL for two seasons, but anyone who has won the AP MVP has a higher than 70% chance of being in the Pro Football Hall of Fame.  Obviously, if his career ends tomorrow, he won’t get in, but that is unlikely, and again, we can’t stress the importance of winning that award.  Coincidentally, he was just named #1 by his peers on the NFL 100.  Jackson also ALREADY has exceeded the MPA for Rushing Yards.  These are the reasons, we can rank him higher than far more tenured passers.

Stats

  • Games 31 (-169.4)
  • Approximate Value 33 (-142.5)
  • AV/G 1.0645 (+0.1893)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-6.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.2)
  • Passing Yards 4328 (-41794)
  • Touchdown Passes 42 (-264.6)
  • Rushing Yards 1901 (+363.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 12 (-3.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
The Cowboys Quarterback has only been in the NFL for four years, going to two Pro Bowls, but he has already broke the MPA plane in Rushing Touchdowns (in 20 years, that MPA will skyrocket).  Prescott obviously is not going to get in based on four seasons, but when you are a QB over the AV/G this gets attention.

Stats

  • Games 64 (-136.4)
  • Approximate Value 60 (-115.5)
  • AV/G 0.9375 (+0.0623)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-5.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 15778 (-30344)
  • Touchdown Passes 97 (-209.6)
  • Rushing Yards 1221 (-316.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 21 (+5.2)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
Only a three-year veteran, Watson is coming off two Pro Bowls.  Watson’s AV/G is over one, making him a worthy candidate for this list despite only playing 39 Games.

Stats

  • Games 39 (-161.4)
  • Approximate Value 38 (-137.5)
  • AV/G 1.0263 (+0.1511)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-5.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 9716 (-36406)
  • Touchdown Passes 71 (-235.6)
  • Rushing Yards 1233 (-304.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 14 (-1.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
Carr has been a Pro Bowl Selection three out of six years and Oakland is usually good for 4,000 Passing Yards.  Carr needs to have a huge season, and a few years ago, many thought he was capable of doing just that.

Stats

  • Games 94 (-106.4)
  • Approximate Value 61 (-114.5)
  • AV/G 0.6489 (-0.2263)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-4.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 22793 (-23329)
  • Touchdown Passes 143 (-163.6)
  • Rushing Yards 495 (-1042.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 3 (-12.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
Obviously, Goff is not a Hall of Famer today, but could he be?  2019 was a slight setback for the Quarterback (who had 4,638 Yards but his QB Rating dropped from 101.1 to 86.5) but Goff has the skills to be more efficient in 2020. 

Stats

  • Games 53 (-147.4)
  • Approximate Value 43 (-132.5)
  • AV/G 0.7963 (-0.0789)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-5.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 14219 (-31903)
  • Touchdown Passes 87 (-219.6)
  • Rushing Yards 215 (-1322.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 6 (-9.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)

The hard luck Quarterback has been cleared to return to play, but his days as a starter might be behind him.

Stats

  • Games 166 (-34.4)
  • Approximate Value 114 (-61.5)
  • AV/G 0.6867 (-0.1885)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-4.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 34068 (-12054)
  • Touchdown Passes 193 (-113.6)
  • Rushing Yards 2601 (+1063.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 15 (-0.8)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)
We know.  Flacco has no Pro Bowls, but he does have a Super Bowl win, and was great in the playoffs do obtain it.  He also has 40,000 Yards, and while the end is near, we guarantee that when Flacco when finally retires, there will be a few articles that openly ask if he is a Hall of Famer.  He won’t be, but he belongs here as long as he doesn’t submit his retirement papers.

Stats

  • Games 163 (-37.4)
  • Approximate Value 113 (-62.5)
  • AV/G 0.6901 (-0.1851)
  • Pro Bowls 0 (-7.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 40067 (-6055)
  • Touchdown Passes 218 (-88.6)
  • Rushing Yards 831 (-706.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 16 (+0.2)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
Oh boy.  How different would it be if Wentz wasn’t hurt late in the 2017 season and won the MVP?  How different would it be if he was the Quarterback in that year’s Super Bowl?  Very different!  Wentz still made the Pro Bowl and was a Second Team All-Pro that year, and his overall stats when he plays has been good, but he has definitely dropped on the pecking order of QBs with five years of experience or lower.

Stats

  • Games 56 (-144.4)
  • Approximate Value 45 (-130.5)
  • AV/G 0.8036 (-0.0716)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-6.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 14191 (-31931)
  • Touchdown Passes 97 (-209.6)
  • Rushing Yards 4240 (+2702.4)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 36 (+20.2)
  • Super Bowls 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.6)
Here is what we said last year: “Dalton has played his entire career with the Bengals and is still capable of a monster year that could catapult him up this list.”  So much for that.  Dalton lost his starting QB job last year (though many pointed out the woes of Cincinnati was not his fault.  His stat padding days might be over as he is now Dak Prescott’s backup, but there was a time when he was a really good Quarterback, and could wind up starting somewhere again.

Stats

  • Games 133 (-67.4)
  • Approximate Value 98 (-77.5)
  • AV/G 0.7368 (-0.1384)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-4.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.2)
  • Passing Yards 31594 (-14528)
  • Touchdown Passes 204 (-102.6)
  • Rushing Yards 1221 (-316.6)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 21 (+5.2)
  • Super Bowls 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.6)