gold star for USAHOF
 

Quarterbacks (15)

Troy Aikman (2006), Brett Favre (2016), Peyton Manning (2021) Dan Marino (2005), Kurt Warner (2017), Steve Young (2005).

Modern Positional Average

Quarterbacks: Troy Aikman (2006), Brett Favre (2016), Peyton Manning (2021) Dan Marino (2005), Kurt Warner (2017), Steve Young (2005).

Ah, the Quarterback.  As Coach Tony D’Amato said in “Any Given Sunday,” it is the most important position in the game.  It has also changed the most over the last 40 years. 

The last group of QBs that have entered Canton would relish the modern game.  Pivots have been blessed with more advantageous rule changes, so passing metrics have skyrocketed.  We also see far more mobile QBs than ever before, with their rushing numbers increasing.  As Aikman, Marino, and Young are more products of the previous era, when they depart the last five instead of players like Tom Brady and Drew Brees, the Modern Positional Average will fall more in line with what we see now.  Until then, we have to keep that in mind!

To help reflect the changing game, we are looking at the Top Five finishes in traditional stats. We will be able to examine more advanced stats in the future, but as this is a recent addition, we can’t do that to the best of our wishes.

Here are the statistics that we are using based on the last group of Quarterbacks to enter the Pro Football Hall of Fame:

  • Games Played: 211.3
  • Approximate Value: 191.3
  • Approximate Value per Games Played: 0.9053
  • Games Started: 204.5
  • Approximate Value per Games Started: 0.9353
  • Approximate Value per Five-Year Peak: 83.67
  • Approximate Value’s Best Five Results: 86
  • MVP Top Five Finishes* **: 172
  • Offensive Player of the Year* **: 14.3
  • Pro Bowls: 8.5
  • First Team All-Pros*: 3
  • Passing Yards: 50,592
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak: 19,370
  • Top Five Passing Yards Finish*: 24.2
  • Touchdown Passes: 345.3
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak: 145.8
  • Top Five Touchdown Pass Finish*: 25.7
  • Interceptions: 202.5
  • Touchdown-INT Ratio: 1.68
  • Completion Percentage: 63.0%
  • Completion Percentage Peak: 64.80%
  • Top Five Completion Percentage Finish*: 23.3
  • Passer Rating: 90.2
  • Top Five Passer Rating Finish*: 21.8
  • Rushing Yards 1392.2
  • Rushing Touchdowns 16
  • Super Bowl Wins 1.6
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2.8

*This is an aggregate of the Top Five finishes (5th = 1, 4th = 2, 3rd = 3, 2nd = 4th, 1st = 5)
**This is a reminder that the All-Pros we use are from the AP.

Stats

  • Games 211.3
  • Approximate Value 191.3
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9053
  • Games Started 204.5
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9356
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 83.67
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 86
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 17.2
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 14.3
  • Pro Bowls 8.5
  • First Team AP All-Pros 3
  • Passing Yards 50592
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 19370
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 24.2
  • Touchdown Passes 346.3
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 145.8
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 25.7
  • Interceptions 202.5
  • TD-INT Ratio 1.68
  • Pass Completion Percentage 63.00
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 64.80
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 23.3
  • Passer Rating 90.2
  • Passer Rating Peak 97.0
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 21.8
  • Rushing Yards 1392.2
  • Rushing Touchdowns 16
  • Super Bowl Championships 1.6
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2.8

2024 Pre-Season Rank #1, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #1, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #2, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #2, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #3.  PEAK PERIOD: 2008-12.

The last two rounds around the sun have been fascinating for Aaron Rodgers.  

Rodgers, who has dated Olivia Munn, Danica Patrick, and Shailene Woodley, was even considered the permanent host of Jeopardy.  It looked like he would cross over into non-sports stardom, but that came crashing down, and he has been involved in more Hollywood feuds (see Jimmy Kimmel) and was thrust into the culture war when it was revealed that he did not get the COVID-19 vaccine and espoused conspiracy theories.  He became much less marketable than he used to be, and there are circles where he is at the top of the list of the most hated athletes.  

In 2023,  after a long and fruitful career with the Green Bay Packers, Rodgers was injured on the first drive with his new team, the New York Jets, and he was underwhelming when healthy in 2024.

None of this will matter.

Regardless of how Rodgers performs in 2025, for his third team, the Pittsburgh Steelers, no active player has the statistical resume that he has.  No multi-time MVP has ever failed to enter Canton, and he has four.  Throw in the Super Bowl win with the Packers, and it is an open-and-shut case, regardless of what happens next.

Notably, a good year will see Rodgers reach more milestones.  He is six Touchdowns away from passing Brett Favre for fourth all-time, and 1,131 Yards will take him over Ben Roethlisberger (64,088) and Philip Rivers (63,440) for fifth all-time. 

The circus comes to the Steel City, and we can’t wait to see it play out.

Stats

  • Games 248 (+36.7)
  • Approximate Value 243 (+51.7)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9798 (+0.0745)
  • Games Started 241 (+36.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 1.0083 (+0.0727)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 88 (+4.33)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 100 (+14)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 21 (+3.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 22 (+7.7)
  • Pro Bowls 10 (+1.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 4 (+1)
  • Passing Yards 62952 (+12360)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 21332 (+1962)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 7 (-17.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 503 (+156.7)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 170 (+24.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 27 (+1.3)
  • Interceptions 116 (-86.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 4.33 (+2.65)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 65.1 (+2.1)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 65.9 (+1.1)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 17 (-6.3)
  • Passer Rating 102.6 (+12.4)
  • Passer Rating Peak 105.6 (+8.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 32 (+10.2)
  • Rushing Yards 3573 (+2180.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 35 (+19)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #2, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #10, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #21, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #31, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #47.  Peak Period 2018-22.

Aaron Rodgers might be ranked higher among Quarterbacks than Patrick Mahomes, but when the GOAT of the position is discussed, far more pundits speculate that it is Mahomes who has the shot to pass Brady.

What Mahomes has already accomplished is phenomenal.  With three Super Bowl wins (winning the MVP in all three), five AFC Conference wins, and two MVPs, he already has a Hall of Fame career that is the envy of most Quarterbacks, and he is only 30.

Here is how good Mahomes is: last season, he broke his six-year streak of Pro Bowls, and in his “off year,” he still won 15 Games, finished sixth in MVP voting, and returned to the Super Bowl.  Mahomes enters the 2025 season with a scintillating 89-23 record, a 245-74 TD-INT ratio, and he still has a loaded roster around him (Travis Kelce, Chris Jones, to name two), and the squad is led by future Hall of Fame Coach, Andy Reid.  The Chiefs could win it all again, and if he wins a fourth title, does he enter the Mount Rushmore of the position?

Given his current standing, it's not a stretch to say that Mahomes is a Pro Football Hall of Famer if he never throws another football. The real question is, what will his all-time Quarterback rank be?

Stats

  • Games 112 (-99.3)
  • Approximate Value 123 (-68.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 1.0982 (+0.1929)
  • Games Started 112 (-92.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 1.0982 (+0.1626)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 93 (+9.33)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 93 (+7)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 13 (-4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 15 (+0.7)
  • Pro Bowls 6 (-2.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 2 (-1)
  • Passing Yards 32352 (-18240)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 23957 (+4587)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 15 (-9.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 245 (-101.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 192 (+46.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 14 (-11.7)
  • Interceptions 74 (-128.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 3.31 (+1.63)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 66.6 (+3.6)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 66.4 (+1.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 0 (-23.3)
  • Passer Rating 102.1 (+11.9)
  • Passer Rating Peak 106.0 (+9)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 11 (-10.8)
  • Rushing Yards 2243 (+850.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 14 (-2)
  • Super Bowl Championships 3 (+1.4)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 5 (+2.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #14, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #30, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #38, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #46, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #76. Peak Period: 2019-20/22-24

Everything but the Super Bowl.

Lamar Jackson has been money since he arrived in the National Football League, winning the MVP in 2019, his second in 2023, and last year, he almost won it, finishing second to Buffalo’s Josh Allen (even though Jackson was the AP First Team All-Pro).

Jackson has a winning record every season (he is 70-24 overall) and is coming off his first 4,000-yard year while still piling up the mileage on the ground (915).   He can beat you with his legs, his accuracy, and his arm, and could make history as the first QB to exceed 10,000 Rushing Yards.

A Quarterback with two MVPs (and remember, almost three) is a slam dunk to make it to Canton, but he does not want to challenge Dan Marino as the finest pivot never to win it all.  Baltimore is again loaded, but it needs to get to the big dance and win it for Jackson’s legacy to be complete.

Stats

  • Games 103 (-108.3)
  • Approximate Value 114 (-77.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 1.1068 (+0.2015)
  • Games Started 94 (-110.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 1.2128 (+0.2772)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 95 (+11.33)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 95 (+9)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 14 (-3.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 8 (-6.3)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-4.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 4 (+1)
  • Passing Yards 20059 (-30533)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 15976 (-3394)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 0 (-24.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 166 (-180.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 144 (-1.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 9 (-16.7)
  • Interceptions 49 (-153.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 3.3876 (+1.7076)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 64.9 (+1.9)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 65.5 (+0.7)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 0 (-23.3)
  • Passer Rating 102.0 (+11.8)
  • Passer Rating Peak 106.3 (+9.3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 10 (-11.8)
  • Rushing Yards 6173 (+4780.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 33 (+17)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #13, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #10, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #10, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #17, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #19. (Peak Period: 2016-20)

The Russell Wilson era in Seattle ended after a Super Bowl win and nine Pro Bowls, but what if Marshawn Lynch ran on that play (you all know which one!) and punched it through the end zone?  That would have made Wilson a two-time Super Bowl champion, and when a QB leads a team to back-to-back titles, it is considered Canton worthy, but, alas, that didn’t happen.

Wilson was traded to Denver, but his two years in Denver were disastrous, evoking post-Philadelphia Donovan McNabb vibes.  Wilson then went to Pittsburgh and earned a tenth Pro Bowl (though he only had 2,482 Yards and 16 TDs), but he did successfully limit the damage to his reputation.

Wilson is now a New York Giant, and like last year, his grasp on the starting QB position has a young incumbent (Jaxson Dart) waiting in the wings.  He may need to compile statistics to secure his Hall of Fame credentials and reinforce his narrative.

Stats

  • Games 199 (-12.3)
  • Approximate Value 188 (-3.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9447 (+0.0394)
  • Games Started 199 (-5.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9447 (+0.0091)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 85 (+1.33)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 88 (+2)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 7 (-7.3)
  • Pro Bowls 10 (+1.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 46135 (-4457)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 19972 (+602)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 0 (-24.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 350 (+3.7)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 161 (+15.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 15 (-10.7)
  • Interceptions 111 (-91.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 3.15 (+1.47)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 64.7 (+1.7)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 65.3 (+0.5)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 3 (-20.3)
  • Passer Rating 99.8 (+9.6)
  • Passer Rating Peak 101.6 (+4.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 3 (-18.8)
  • Rushing Yards 5462 (+4069.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 31 (+15)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #39, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #69, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #98, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #117.  Peak Period: 2020-24.

What Josh Allen accomplished last season was incredible. 

The Buffalo Bills entered the year battered and bruised, and Allen took the team on his back and brought them to the AFC Championship game, where they fell 32-29 to the Kansas City Chiefs.  Allen won the 2024 MVP, having thrown 3,731 Yards with a 28-6 TD-INT ratio, with 531 Rushing Yards and 12 TDs. 

The MVP was not unexpected for Allen, who has been one of the game’s top dual-threat QBs since 2020, and there is no reason to think he can’t do it again.  The Hall looks for more from a QB, and that comes with a Super Bowl, or at the very least, a Super Bowl appearance.  Allen and the Bills are capable of that, and when that happens, the Hall will come calling.

Stats

  • Games 111 (-100.3)
  • Approximate Value 112 (-79.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 1.0090 (+0.1037)
  • Games Started 110 (-94.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 1.0182 (+0.0826)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 95 (+11.33)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 95 (+9)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 13 (-4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 2 (-12.3)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-5.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 26434 (-24158)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 21271 (+1901)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 3 (-21.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 195 (-151.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 165 (+19.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 6 (-19.7)
  • Interceptions 84 (-118.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.31 (+0.63)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 63.3 (+0.3)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 65.2 (+0.40000000000001)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 2 (-21.3)
  • Passer Rating 92.2 (+2)
  • Passer Rating Peak 95.0 (-2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 2 (-19.8)
  • Rushing Yards 4142 (+2749.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 65 (+49)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #31, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #37, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #37, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #59, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #67.  Peak Period: 2011-15.

A change of scenery can change the perception.  Matthew Stafford was a Lion for 12 years, racking up passing yards but only a few wins.  A Pro Bowl once in Detroit, Stafford was entrenched as a second-tier QB.  The Rams traded for him, and he became a Super Bowl Champion in his first year in Los Angeles, gaining national recognition. Articles were written (and scoffed at) proclaiming him a Hall of Famer, and he isn't as of this writing, but he sure is a hell of a lot closer than he was.  Never forget how vital Super Bowl wins are for the Quarterback position for Canton consideration.   

Stafford is now on the north side of 35 and is entering his fifth year in L.A.   His second Pro Bowl in 2023 will help him, but he needs a lot more despite the Super Bowl win.  His key is in his statistical compilation.  Currently, he is tenth in Passing Yards (59,809), and could pass Dan Marino (61,361), Matt Ryan (62,792), and Philip Rivers (63,440), and a top-five spot all-time is in his grasp.  Say what you want about the previously mentioned three QBs, and that they were better than Stafford (we would agree), but he has a ring.

Stats

  • Games 222 (+10.7)
  • Approximate Value 180 (-11.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8108 (-0.0945)
  • Games Started 222 (+17.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8108 (-0.1248)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 68 (-15.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 73 (-13)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-6.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 59089 (+8497)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 23174 (+3804)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 16 (-8.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 377 (+30.7)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 144 (-1.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 9 (-16.7)
  • Interceptions 188 (-14.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.05 (+0.37)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 63.4 (+0.4)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 61.8 (-3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 4 (-19.3)
  • Passer Rating 91.2 (+1)
  • Passer Rating Peak 88.5 (-8.5)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 1 (-20.8)
  • Rushing Yards 1356 (-36.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 15 (-1)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #53, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #121. Peak Period: 2020-23*

And now he is a champion.

Jalen Hurts and the tush push brought the Philadelphia Eagles their second Super Bowl, and while he has only been in the NFL for five years, it feels like a long time coming.

Jalen Hurts was the runner-up for the 2019 Heisman, and there were a few questions that surrounded him in the following draft. There should not have been.  Hurts won the Bert Bell Award in 2022 and has an AV/G well over the MPA in his brief career, which, based on modern metrics, a QB needs to have to sniff Canton.  Hurts has the skills and talent around him to become the first Quarterback to rush for 100 Touchdowns (unless Josh Allen beats him to it), and this does not take into account his excellent passing skills.

Whenever a QB wins a Super Bowl, the Hall of Fame buzz accelerates, and the Eagles are a squad that could win several.  The scary thing is that Jalen is just entering his prime.

 

Stats

  • Games 77 (-134.3)
  • Approximate Value 75 (-116.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9740 (+0.0687)
  • Games Started 66 (-138.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 1.1667 (+0.2311)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 75 (-8.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 75 (-11)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 4 (-13.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 3 (-11.3)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-6.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 14667 (-35925)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 14667 (-4703)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 0 (-24.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 85 (-261.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 85 (-60.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 0 (-25.7)
  • Interceptions 39 (-163.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.18 (+0.5)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 64.4 (+1.4)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 64.4 (-0.39999999999999)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 0 (-23.3)
  • Passer Rating 93.5 (+3.3)
  • Passer Rating Peak 93.5 (-3.5)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 3 (-18.8)
  • Rushing Yards 3133 (+1740.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 55 (+39)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #32, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #44, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #55, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #63, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #80.  Peak Period: 2016-17/2021-23

There is no greater pressure cooker in the National Football League than being the Quarterback of the Dallas Cowboys.  While Dak Prescott has been maligned in some circles for not winning a Super Bowl or even getting there, the stat line shows that he has been very good for some time.

The 2016 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year has been selected to three Pro Bowls, has broken 4,400 Yards three times, and in 2023, he led the NFL in Touchdown Passes (36) and was the runner-up for the league MVP.  Sadly, Prescott’s hamstring injury cost him half of the season, and in the eight Games he played in, he was average, which led to a significant drop in his ranking.

Prescott enters the 2025 Season with a depleted Dallas team, but he is still a top-ten Quarterback.  He has a lot to prove this year if he has any chance of being inducted into the Hall of Fame.

Stats

  • Games 122 (-89.3)
  • Approximate Value 112 (-79.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9180 (+0.0127)
  • Games Started 122 (-82.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9180 (-0.0176)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 73 (-10.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 74 (-12)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 1 (-16.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 4 (-10.3)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-5.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 31437 (-19155)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 20613 (+1243)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 7 (-17.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 213 (-133.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 148 (+2.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 9 (-16.7)
  • Interceptions 82 (-120.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.60 (+0.92)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 66.8 (+3.8)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 67.5 (+2.7)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 8 (-15.3)
  • Passer Rating 98.1 (+7.9)
  • Passer Rating Peak 100.0 (+3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 10 (-11.8)
  • Rushing Yards 1938 (+545.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 29 (+13)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #89, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #100, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #112. 2021 Pre-Season Rank #106, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #117.  Peak Period: 2017-19/2022-23

In 2018, Jared Goff led the Los Angeles Rams to a Super Bowl appearance.  They did not win, and although he won two Pro Bowls, the Rams gave up on him and traded the Quarterback to the Detroit Lions.  In Stafford’s first season in L.A., he won a Super Bowl, making Goff look bad in the process, but years later, it is Goff and the Lions who are the superior team.

Goff brought Detroit to the NFC Championship Game in 2023 and was a Pro Bowl Selection in 2022 and 2024.  Last season, Goff had his best year to date, throwing for 4,629 Yards and 37 Touchdowns, but the potent Lions were bounced early in the playoffs.  Nevertheless, Goff finished fifth in the MVP race and is still young and talented enough to take the talented Lions to a Super Bowl win.   If that happens, this will result in a colossal jump for Goff.

Stats

  • Games 134 (-77.3)
  • Approximate Value 113 (-78.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8433 (-0.062)
  • Games Started 134 (-70.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8433 (-0.0923)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 70 (-13.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 83 (-3)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 1 (-16.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-4.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 35058 (-15534)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 20839 (+1469)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 13 (-11.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 222 (-124.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 135 (-10.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 6 (-19.7)
  • Interceptions 94 (-108.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.36 (+0.68)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 65.6 (+2.6)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 67.7 (+2.9)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 4 (-19.3)
  • Passer Rating 95.7 (+5.5)
  • Passer Rating Peak 98.2 (+1.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 5 (-16.8)
  • Rushing Yards 551 (-841.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 12 (-4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #64, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #84, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #84, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #92, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #124.  Peak Period: 2008-12

For the record, we know that the odds of Joe Flacco making it to the Pro Football Hall of Fame are minimal at best, but what he has accomplished in the last few years has been inspirational.

A Super Bowl Champion with the Baltimore Ravens, Flacco was supplanted by Lamar Jackson and continued to work in the NFL as a solid backup.  In 2023, he had to take over for Cleveland in their stretch drive and led them to the playoffs with a 4-1 record.  He also won the AP Comeback Player of the Year.   Last year, he was a Colt, but he begins this campaign as a starter once again, for Cleveland. 

Regardless of how far he gets in the Hall of Fame process, his longevity and dedication to the game are impressive, and he is a player with over 45,000 Yards. 

Stats

  • Games 196 (-15.3)
  • Approximate Value 132 (-59.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6735 (-0.2318)
  • Games Started 191 (-13.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.6911 (-0.2445)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 62 (-21.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 63 (-23)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 0 (-8.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 45697 (-4895)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 17633 (-1737)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 0 (-24.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 257 (-89.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 102 (-43.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 0 (-25.7)
  • Interceptions 162 (-40.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 1.58 (-0.1)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 61.7 (-1.3)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 60.5 (-4.3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 0 (-23.3)
  • Passer Rating 84.4 (-5.8)
  • Passer Rating Peak 86.3 (-10.7)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 0 (-21.8)
  • Rushing Yards 890 (-502.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 16
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #109,  2023 Pre-Season Rank #126. Peak Period: 2020-24

In 2019, Joe Burrow won the Heisman Trophy and took LSU to the National Championship.  There was no doubt that he would go number one overall, and the Cincinnati Bengals have been blessed to have him.

After his rookie year, Burrow has arguably been a top-five NFL pivot, and as a sophomore, he brought the Bengals closer than they had ever been to capturing the Lombardi Trophy.  Last season, he was electric on a Cincinnati squad that had depth and defensive issues, and he led the NFL in Passing Yards (4,918) and Touchdowns (43) with only 9 Interceptions.  He was awarded the Comeback Player of the Year, and was fourth in MVP voting despite a 9-8 record.

The Bengals are one of the most intriguing teams entering 2025, but they will contend as long as Burrow is healthy.  If he is, expect another significant jump in this rank next year. 

Stats

  • Games 69 (-142.3)
  • Approximate Value 63 (-128.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9130 (+0.0077)
  • Games Started 69 (-135.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9130 (-0.0226)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 63 (-20.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 63 (-23)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 4 (-13.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 1 (-13.3)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-6.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 19001 (-31591)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 19001 (-369)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 6 (-18.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 140 (-206.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 140 (-5.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 9 (-16.7)
  • Interceptions 46 (-156.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 3.04 (+1.36)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 68.6 (+5.6)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 68.6 (+3.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 11 (-12.3)
  • Passer Rating 101.2 (+11)
  • Passer Rating Peak 101.2 (+4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 7 (-14.8)
  • Rushing Yards 806 (-586.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 12 (-4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (-1.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #78, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #61, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #87, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #121.  Peak Period: 2016-20

The run of Kirk Cousins in Minnesota was underappreciated as he earned three of his four Pro Bowls and 171 Touchdowns in purple.  Cosuins departed to lead Atlanta, who promptly drafted Michael Penix Jr. in the First Round.  The writing was on the wall.

Cousins had his least accurate season as a starter, allowing an NFL-high 16 Interceptions, before he was relieved for Penix.  Cousins begins the season on the bench, and at age 37, his best days are likely done, though his overall numbers (42,979 Yards and 288 TDs) are nothing to be ashamed of, and if he gets significant time, he can break 45,000 Yards and 300 TDs, which is high-end company.

Stats

  • Games 164 (-47.3)
  • Approximate Value 126 (-65.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game .7633 (-0.142)
  • Games Started 159 (-45.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7925 (-0.1431)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 73 (-10.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 74 (-12)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-4.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 42979 (-7613)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 21176 (+1806)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 5 (-19.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 288 (-58.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 143 (-2.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 1 (-24.7)
  • Interceptions 126 (-76.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.29 (+0.61)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 66.9 (+3.9)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 67.6 (+2.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 15 (-8.3)
  • Passer Rating 97.4 (+7.2)
  • Passer Rating Peak 100.3 (+3.3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 7 (-14.8)
  • Rushing Yards 958 (-434.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 19 (+3)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #99, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #82, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #82, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #115.  Peak Period: 2019-21/23-24

The first three seasons of Kyler Murray’s career were pure excitement.  He won the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2019 and was a Pro Bowl Selection in the next two.  A dual-threat Quarterback, Murray was must-watch television, but 2022 and 2023 saw Murray deal with multiple injuries and a perceived bad attitude.  2024 was the crossroads year, but while healthy, his 3,851 Yards and 21 TDs were not quite the rocket back to where he was.

Again this season, it feels like Murray has a lot to prove to pundits, fans, and himself.  

Stats

  • Games 82 (-129.3)
  • Approximate Value 77 (-114.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.9390 (+0.0337)
  • Games Started 82 (-122.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9390 (+0.0034)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 69 (-14.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 69 (-17)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-6.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 19498 (-31094)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 17139 (-2231)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 0 (-24.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 115 (-231.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 101 (-44.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 0 (-25.7)
  • Interceptions 57 (-145.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 2.02 (+0.34)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 67.1 (+4.1)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 67.0 (+2.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 4 (-19.3)
  • Passer Rating 92.4 (+2.2)
  • Passer Rating Peak 92.7 (-4.3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 0 (-21.8)
  • Rushing Yards 3020 (+1627.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 31 (+15)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #116, 2023 Pre-Season Rank: 116, 2022 Pre-Season Rank: #129.  Peak Period: 2020-24

The Chargers have their Quarterback for the long haul in Justin Herbert, who was the 2020 Offensive Rookie of the Year and a Pro Bowl Selection in 2021, but still has a lot left to prove.  While his 3,870 Passing Yards may not jump off the page in this era, he led the league in Interception Percentage (0.6), throwing only three picks against 23 Touchdowns.   The Chargers made the playoffs last year, and Herbert was ninth in MVP voting; however, he is a deep playoff run away from making a concerted turn toward the Hall.

Stats

  • Games 79 (-132.3)
  • Approximate Value 70 (-121.3)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8861 (-0.0192)
  • Games Started 79 (-125.5)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8861 (-0.0495)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 70 (-13.67)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 70 (-16)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-17.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-14.3)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-7.5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Passing Yards 21093 (-29499)
  • Passing Yards Five-Year Peak 21093 (+1723)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passing Yards Finishes 8 (-16.2)
  • Touchdown Passes 137 (-209.3)
  • Touchdown Passes Five-Year Peak 137 (-8.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown Passes Finishes 3 (-22.7)
  • Interceptions 45 (-157.5)
  • TD-INT Ratio 3.04 (+1.36)
  • Pass Completion Percentage 66.5 (+3.5)
  • Pass Completion Percentage Pass Percentage Peak 66.5 (+1.7)
  • Top Five Aggregated Pass Completion Percentage Finishes 3 (-20.3)
  • Passer Rating 96.7 (+6.5)
  • Passer Rating Peak 96.7 (-0.3)
  • Top Five Aggregated Passer Rating Finishes 0 (-21.8)
  • Rushing Yards 1217 (-175.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 13 (-3)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-1.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-2.8)