gold star for USAHOF

Wide Receivers (17)

Isaac Bruce (2020), Andre Johnson (2024), Calvin Johnson (2020), Randy Moss (2018), Terrell Owens (2018)

Modern Positional Average

Wide Receivers: Isaac Bruce (2020), Andre Johnson (2024, Calvin Johnson (2021), Randy Moss (2018), Terrell Owens (2018).

Has the Wide Receiver position not been the most backlogged offensive position for the Pro Football Hall of Fame for decades?  This will only get harder with the increased receiving numbers we have seen over the past ten years, and we will see barring significant rule changes.

Here are the statistics that we are using based on the last group of Wide Receivers to enter the Pro Football Hall of Fame:

  • Games Played: 197.4
  • Approximate Value: 143.8
  • Approximate Value per Games Played: 0.7285
  • Games Started: 182.4
  • Approximate Value per Games Started: 0.7475
  • Approximate Value per Five-Year Peak: 66
  • Approximate Value’s Best Five Results: 71.8
  • MVP Top Five Finishes* **: 0.6
  • Offensive Player of the Year Finishes* **: 3.2
  • Pro Bowls: 6
  • First Team All-Pros*: 3
  • Receiving Yards: 14,526.6
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak: 6,539.6
  • Top Five Receiving Yards Finish: 13.4
  • Receiving Touchdowns: 122.2
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak: 15,098
  • Top Five Receiving Touchdown Finishes**: 15.8
  • Receptions: 923.4
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak: 430.4
  • Top Five Receptions**: 7.4
  • Super Bowl Wins 0.8
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0.2

*This is an aggregate of the Top Five finishes (5th = 1, 4th = 2, 3rd = 3, 2nd = 4th, 1st = 5)
**This is a reminder that the All-Pros we use are from the AP.

Stats

  • Games 197.4
  • Approximate Value 143.8
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7285
  • Games Started 182.4
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7475
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 66
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 71.8
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0.6
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 3.2
  • Pro Bowls 6
  • First Team AP All-Pros 3
  • Receiving Yards 14,528
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6,539.6
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 13.4
  • Receiving Touchdowns 122.2
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 51
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 15.8
  • Receptions 923.4
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 430.4
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 7.4
  • Super Bowl Championships 0.2
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0.8

2024 Pre-Season Rank #18, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #35, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #58, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #73.  Peak 2020-24

How can so much production seem so quiet?  

Last year, Mike Evans broke 12,500 Yards and 100 Touchdowns, and in the first 11 seasons of his career, he has never failed to break the four-digit mark in Receiving Yards.  The only person to do that is Jerry Rice.

So, why is his career so unassuming?   In four of those seasons, Evans did not reach 1,100 Yards, and in two of them, he was less than 1,010.   Although Evans made the top ten in Touchdown Receptions six times, he has only reached the top ten in Receiving Yards twice, and has never been a First Team All-Pro.  Regardless, he is now a six-time Pro Bowl selection, with five in the last seven years. 

He enters 2025 healthy, the active Touchdown Reception leader (105), and if he gains 1,000 Yards again, he will have broken Jerry Rice’s record for most consecutive 1,000-Yard seasons.  When you break a record held by Rice, the Pro Football Hall of Fame will notice.

Stats

  • Games 168 (-29.4)
  • Approximate Value 102 (-41.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6071 (-0.1214)
  • Games Started 167 (-15.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.6108 (-0.1367)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 49 (-17)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 52 (-19.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 6
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 12684 (+12670)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5424 (+5418)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 5 (-8.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 105 (-17.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 57 (+6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 13 (-2.8)
  • Receptions 836 (-87.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 374 (-56.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 0 (-7.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #8, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #28, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #35, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #53.  Peak Period: 2019-23

Tyreek Hill was a three-time First Team All-Pro and Super Bowl Champion with the Kansas City Chiefs, but they traded the talented Wide Receiver to Miami for a slew of draft picks.  Miami then made him the highest-paid WR in the league, and in his first two seasons, Hill was the game’s top receiver, achieving over 1,700 Yards in both campaigns, and leading the NFL in Receiving Yards (1,799) and Receiving Touchdowns (13) in 2023.    He was also the runner-up for the Offensive Player of the Year,

Last season was a different story for Hill, who, for the first time in his career, was not chosen for the Pro Bowl.  He had a lackluster year by his standards (959 Yards/6 TDs), and whispers of his decline were in the air.

Still, he enters 2025 with 11,098 career Yards and 82 TDs, and is capable of a bounce-back year, and Hill’s candidacy might need that as off-field issues follow him wherever he goes, and that does turn off some of the voters (right or wrong). 




 

Stats

  • Games 141 (-56.4)
  • Approximate Value 116 (-27.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8227 (+0.0942)
  • Games Started 123 (-59.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9431 (+0.1956)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 66
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 76 (+4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 6 (+2.8)
  • Pro Bowls 8 (+2)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 5 (+2)
  • Receiving Yards 11098 (+11084)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6884 (+6878)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 11 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 82 (-40.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 51
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 11 (-4.8)
  • Receptions 798 (-125.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 494 (+63.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 11 (+3.6)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (+1.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #27, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #24, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #43, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #67, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #95.  Peak Period: 2018-22

Davante Adams was Aaron Rodgers' favorite weapon in Green Bay, and last year, Adams and Rodgers were reunited with the New York Jets.  In a combined season with the Las Vegas Raiders, Adams collected 1,063 Yards, which, while low for him, was his fifth straight 1,000-yard year and sixth overall.

Adams has already proved he doesn’t need Rodgers (his first year in Vegas saw him lead the NFL in Touchdown Receptions (14), and he did have three consecutive First Team All-Pros, which not many Wide Receivers can claim. 

Joining the Los Angeles Rams this year, Adams will be the second option behind Puca Nacua, but he can still compile significant yardage.  Going into 2025, Adams is 33rd all-time in Yards, and just 1,000 Yards (providing that Mike Evans does not accrue 181 Yards this year, will vault him ten spots.  He has also been a top-endzone threat, punching it through 103 times, placing him 23rd.  His Hall of Fame bar looks to be 14,000 Yards and 120 TDs, and if healthy, he should get there.

Stats

  • Games 164 (-33.4)
  • Approximate Value 111 (-32.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6768 (-0.0517)
  • Games Started 157 (-25.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7070 (-0.0405)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 68 (+2)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 68 (-3.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 6
  • First Team AP All-Pros 3
  • Receiving Yards 11844 (+11830)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6826 (+6820)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 7 (-6.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 103 (-19.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 61 (+10)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 23 (+7.2)
  • Receptions 957 (+33.6)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 532 (+101.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 8 (+0.6)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #24, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #20, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #28, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #30, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #44.  Peak Period: 2015-19

DeAndre Hopkins joins the Baltimore Ravens this year in his quest for his first Super Bowl.  He was as close as he ever was last year, having been traded to Kansas City during the season, but his overall output was 610 Yards, a far cry from the dynamo he was with Houston from 2017 to 2019, and was considered one of the best Wide receivers of the game. 

He is currently the active leader in Receiving Yards (12,965), but we have him ranked below Mike Evans (the most consistent WR of this era), Davante Adams (who has over 100 Touchdowns and is within 1,100 Yards of him), and Tyreek Hill (whose best years were better than Hopkins' best).

Hopkins still has a lot in the tank, and if used and healthy, he can pad those stats, and let’s be honest:  The Wide Receiver logjam is the tightest one in Canton.

Stats

  • Games 178 (-19.4)
  • Approximate Value 106 (-37.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.5955 (-0.133)
  • Games Started 169 (-13.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.6272 (-0.1203)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 52 (-14)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 56 (-15.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 5 (+1.8)
  • Pro Bowls 5 (-1)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 3
  • Receiving Yards 12965 (+12951)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6590 (+6584)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 12 (-1.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 83 (-39.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 46 (-5)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 6 (-9.8)
  • Receptions 984 (+60.6)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 504 (+73.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 11 (+3.6)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #50, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #101, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #130.  Peak Period: 2020-24

Since he debuted in 2020, Justin Jefferson has accumulated more Receiving Yards (7,432) than any other Wide Receiver.  He is also the current all-time leader in Receiving Yards per Game (96.5).   He is also in his prime.

Except for 2023, when he only played 10 Games, Jefferson has been named to the Pro Bowl annually, was the 2020 Offensive Rookie of the Year, the 2022 Offensive Player of the Year, and is a two-time First Team All-Pro.  This man is a star!

Barring injury, Justin Jefferson has the tools to replicate his first half-decade from 2025 to 2029.   If he does, that bust is a lock.

Stats

  • Games 77 (-120.4)
  • Approximate Value 63 (-80.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8182 (+0.0897)
  • Games Started 74 (-108.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8514 (+0.1039)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 63 (-3)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 63 (-8.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 1 (+0.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 5 (+1.8)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 2 (-1)
  • Receiving Yards 7432 (+7418)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 7432 (+7426)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 15 (+1.6)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 40 (-82.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 40 (-11)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 0 (-15.8)
  • Receptions 493 (-430.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 495 (+64.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 7 (-0.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #38, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #48, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #57, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #118.  Peak Period 2019-23

Stefon Diggs joined the 10,000 Yard Receiving Club in 2024 in his lone year in Houston, but a torn ACL held him to eight Games and less than 500 Yards.   Those four consecutive Pro Bowls in Buffalo also came with the benefit of having Josh Allen as the Quarterback.   He now joins the rebuilding New England Patriots, and if healthy, will be a top option.  Diggs will have to compile a lot of Yards to get a Hall of Fame look, and this season will tell if he still has the wheels to make a run. 

Stats

  • Games 144 (-53.4)
  • Approximate Value 103 (-40.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7153 (-0.0132)
  • Games Started 136 (-46.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7574 (+0.0098999999999999)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 67 (+1)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 67 (-4.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-2)
  • Receiving Yards 10491 (+10477)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6502 (+6496)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 6 (-7.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 70 (-52.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 43 (-8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 3 (-12.8)
  • Receptions 857 (-66.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 508 (+77.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 7 (-0.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #41, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #45, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #48, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #66, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #82.  Peak Period: 2017-21

After 11 seasons with the San Diego/Los Angeles Chargers, Keenan Allen signed with the Chicago Bears for a year before signing back with the Bolts this year.

In his first run in Los Angeles, he compiled over 10,000 Yards and six Pro Bowls, but it is safe to say he won’t do that in his return to SoFi.  Allen has to take on the role of compiler, and with the logjam at Wide Receiver, it will take a lot, especially for a player who has never been an All-Pro.   That being said, an honor from the Chargers seems likely for the popular Wide Receiver eventually.

Stats

  • Games 154 (-43.4)
  • Approximate Value 97 (-46.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6299 (-0.0986)
  • Games Started 149 (-33.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.6510 (-0.0965)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 51 (-15)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 54 (-17.8)
  • Pro Bowls 6
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 11274 (+11260)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5918 (+5912)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 3 (-10.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 66 (-56.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 32 (-19)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 0 (-15.8)
  • Receptions 974 (+50.6)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 509 (+78.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 5 (-2.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #76, #2023 Pre-Season Rank #106, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #142, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #141.  Peak Period: 2020-24

The fanbase of the Tennessee Titans is still shaking its head at the trade of A.J. Brown to the Philadelphia Eagles.

A Pro Bowl Selection in 2020, Brown was dealt to Philadelphia, and the Eagles made the correct bet, as in the three years he has been in the City of Brotherly Love, he has been named a Second Team All-Pro in all three.  The primary air weapon of Jalen Hurts, Brown had back-to-back 1,400-yard seasons in 2022 and 2023, and last year, he was a massive part of the Eagles' Super Bowl win.

A star on top contender, Brown might be in the shadow of other wideouts, but is on track for a Canton-worthy career.

Stats

  • Games 90 (-107.4)
  • Approximate Value 74 (-69.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game .8222 (+0.0937)
  • Games Started 82 (-100.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9024 (+0.1549)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 64 (-2)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 66 (-5.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 7026 (+7012)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5975 (+5969)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 3 (-10.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 49 (-73.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 41 (-10)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 4 (-11.8)
  • Receptions 446 (-477.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 394 (-36.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 0 (-7.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 2 (+1.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #44, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #46, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #38, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #41, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #49.  Peak Period: 2016-20

In 2019, Thomas made history as the first Wide Receiver (the first being Jerry Rice) to win the Offensive Player of the Year Award. Not only was he the NFL's WR1, but his future looked so bright that it involved a gold jacket. Since then, Thomas has dealt with ankle and foot issues, missed all of 2021, and only played in 20 Games from 2020 to 2023. 

He enters this season no longer as a Saint and is a Free Agent looking for work.  The Hall seems so far away now, but the Saints Hall of Fame is a lock for him.  Sadly, this is another case of injuries derailing what would have been a phenomenal career.

Stats

  • Games 83 (-114.4)
  • Approximate Value 66 (-77.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7952 (+0.0667)
  • Games Started 72 (-110.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9167 (+0.1692)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 61 (-5)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 61 (-10.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 5 (+1.8)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 2 (-1)
  • Receiving Yards 6569 (+6555)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6950 (+6944)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 5 (-8.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 36 (-86.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 32 (-19)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 2 (-13.8)
  • Receptions 565 (-358.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 510 (+79.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 13 (+5.6)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #111, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #134, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #145. Peak Period: 2021-23*

Here is what we said last year:

“A Pro Bowl in all three of his NFL seasons, Ja’Marr Chase was the 2021 Consensus Offensive Rookie of the Year and is a possible league WR1 going into 2024.  Chase might have to carry a more significant load with the departure of Running Back Joe Mixon, but Chase can set personal bests this year.  Many predict it.”

Chase did that, winning the Wide Receiver’s Triple Crown with 127 Receptions, 1.708 Receiving Yards, and 17 Touchdowns.  His first four NFL seasons have few peers, and he is only 25. 

*Chase has only played for four years.

Stats

  • Games 62 (-135.4)
  • Approximate Value 51 (-92.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8226 (+0.0941)
  • Games Started 61 (-121.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8361 (+0.0886)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 51 (-15)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 51 (-20.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 3 (-0.2)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-2)
  • Receiving Yards 5425 (+5411)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5425 (+5419)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 7 (-6.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 46 (-76.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 46 (-5)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 8 (-7.8)
  • Receptions 395 (-528.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 395 (-35.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 5 (-2.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #48, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #62, 2022 Pre-Season Rank: #67. Peak Period: 2019-23

Cooper Kupp was in his fifth season (2021), where he exploded by winning the Wide Receiver’s Triple Crown (145 Receptions, 1,947 Receiving Yards, and 16 Touchdowns) and won the Offensive Player of the Year.  Kupp was highly regarded in the NFL, but it was safe to say that his success came as a surprise across the country.  He continued this success through the postseason, leading the Rams to their first Super Bowl win in Los Angeles and winning the Super Bowl MVP award.

As it appears now, Kupp was a WR2 masquerading as a star WR1 for one year, as he has never approached that year’s output since.  That incredible year earns him a spot on this list, and in his ninth year of the NFL, he joins his hometown Seattle Seahawks.  For Kupp to sniff the Hall, he has to recreate that 2021 year.

Stats

  • Games 104 (-93.4)
  • Approximate Value 73 (-70.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7019 (-0.0266)
  • Games Started 89 (-93.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7528 (+0.0053)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 49 (-17)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 51 (-20.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 3 (+2.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 5 (+1.8)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-5)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-2)
  • Receiving Yards 7776 (+7762)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5631 (+5625)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 5 (-8.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 57 (-65.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 40 (-11)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 9 (-6.8)
  • Receptions 634 (-289.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 465 (+34.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 5 (-2.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #75, 2023: Pre-Season Rank #148. Peak Period: 2020-24

CeeDee Lamb has been the top weapon for the Dallas Cowboys over the last four seasons, boasting a four-year streak of Pro Bowls, with AP All-Pro Selections earned consecutively from 2022 to 2024 (one First Team and two Second Teams).  Despite the rebuilding state of the Cowboys, Lamb should be able to generate a fifth All-Pro caliber season in 2025.  Considering that Wide Receiver is the most challenging position to generate Hall of Fame entrants, and the current league depth, Lamb has to be great for years to come. 

Stats

  • Games 81 (-116.4)
  • Approximate Value 62 (-81.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7654 (+0.0369)
  • Games Started 76 (-106.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8158 (+0.0683)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 62 (-4)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 62 (-9.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 3 (-0.2)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-2)
  • Receiving Yards 6339 (+6325)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6339 (+6333)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 4 (-9.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 38 (-84.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 38 (-13)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 3 (-12.8)
  • Receptions 496 (-427.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 496 (+65.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 6 (-1.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #67, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #71, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #81, 2021 Pre-Season #78, Rank 2020 Pre-Season Rank #84.  Peak Period: 2019-23

Splitting his 2024 Season with Cleveland and Buffalo, Amari Cooper compiled 547 Yards that pushed him just over the 10,000 plateau, but this was half of his production from his 2023 season, where he was a Pro Bowl for the fifth time.

At 31, Cooper resigned with the team that drafted him, the Las Vegas Raiders. However, if there is any Hall of Fame traction to be had, he must replicate his 2023 performance and sustain that level of excellence for years to come.  That might be a tough ask.

Stats

  • Games 154 (-43.4)
  • Approximate Value 83 (-60.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.5390 (-0.1895)
  • Games Started 143 (-39.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.5804 (-0.1671)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 46 (-20)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 51 (-20.8)
  • Pro Bowls 5 (-1)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 10033 (+10019)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5578 (+5572)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 0 (-13.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 64 (-58.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 35 (-16)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 0 (-15.8)
  • Receptions 711 (-212.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 389 (-41.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 0 (-7.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #69, 2023 Pre-Season #77, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #77, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #71, Last Year’s Rank #62.  Peak Period: 2014-16/18-19.

OBJ’s three Pro Bowls were in his first three seasons, and while his last Pro Bowl was in 2016, Beckham Jr. did have 1,000-yard-plus campaigns in 2018 and 2019.  Since then, injuries have accumulated, and he is no longer the same player who made the most incredible regular-season catch in history.  2021 was a year of agony and ecstasy for Beckham Jr., who seemed rejuvenated after a mid-season pickup by the Rams, where he won the Super Bowl. However, in that game, while he scored a Touchdown, he also tore his ACL.  

After sitting out the 2022 season to rehab, Beckham Jr. played a year in Baltimore with a respectable 565 Yards, but only had 55 Yards in nine Games in Miami the year after.  He starts this season without a team, and his Hall of Fame resume appears to end with an incredible start with a Touchdown catch and ACL tear in a Super Bowl win. 

 

 

Stats

  • Games 119 (-78.4)
  • Approximate Value 69 (-74.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.5798 (-0.1487)
  • Games Started 97 (-85.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.7113 (-0.0362)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 44 (-22)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 51 (-20.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 7987 (+7973)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 6209 (+6203)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 4 (-9.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 59 (-63.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 45 (-6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 5 (-10.8)
  • Receptions 575 (-348.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 421 (-9.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 3 (-4.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2024 Pre-Season Rank #100, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #113, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #116, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #124, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #137.  Peak Period: 2016-18/2020-21

If there were ever a WR2 Hall of Fame, would Adam Thielen make the first ballot?

Of course, there isn’t one, but we are impressed by how Thielen keeps chugging along.  His last Pro Bowl was in 2018, a year that he had over 100 Receptions (113) and 1,000 Yards (1,373).  He never had a three-digit Reception/four-digit Receiving Yards year again until 2023 (103 Rec/1,014 Yards) last year in his first season in Carolina, where he was one of the few weapons they had. 

Even though he is in his mid-30s the Minnesota Vikings believe that Thielen can help, as they traded for him in the pre-season, reuniting him with the team where he had 55 Touchdowns.   The PFHOF won’t call him (though he will be a longtime preliminary candidate), but a post-career accolade in Minnesota?  Definitely.

Stats

  • Games 162 (-35.4)
  • Approximate Value 74 (-69.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.4568 (-0.2717)
  • Games Started 128 (-54.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.5781 (-0.1694)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 46 (-20)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 48 (-23.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-4)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 0 (-3)
  • Receiving Yards 8311 (+8297)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 5268 (+5262)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 1 (-12.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 64 (-58.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 42 (-9)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 3 (-12.8)
  • Receptions 685 (-238.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 414 (-16.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 2 (-5.4)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2024: Pre-Season Rank: #144.  Peak Period: 2021-24*

Amon-Ra St. Brown has only been in the NFL for four years, but has put forth an incredible run where he is the lead weapon of a potent Detroit Lions squad.  He was an entrant in 2025 on a three-year Pro Bowl streak and a two-year First Team All-Pro streak with at least 10 Touchdowns in both campaigns. 

*St. Brown has only played four seasons.

Stats

  • Games 66 (-131.4)
  • Approximate Value 50 (-93.8)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7576 (+0.0291)
  • Games Started 58 (-124.4)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8621 (+0.1146)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 50 (-16)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 50 (-21.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-0.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 0 (-3.2)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 2 (-1)
  • Receiving Yards 4851 (+4837)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 4851 (+4845)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Yards Finishes 4 (-9.4)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 33 (-89.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 33 (-18)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receiving Touchdowns Finishes 5 (-10.8)
  • Receptions 430 (-493.4)
  • Receptions Five-Year Peak 430 (-0.39999999999998)
  • Top Five Aggregated Receptions Finishes 8 (+0.6)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.2)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)