Wide Receivers (20)

Tim Brown, Marvin Harrison, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, Andre Reed.

Modern Positional Average

Wide Receivers: Tim Brown, Isaac Bruce, Marvin Harrison, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens.

*Isaac Bruce replaces Andre Reed in regards to the last five Wide Receivers.  This changed the averages from 2019’s: 223.2 Games, 152.8 Approximate Value, .6581 AV/G, 7.2 Pro Bowls, 2.4 First Team All-Pros, 1,041.4 Receptions, 14,787.6 Receiving Yards, 124.8 Receiving Touchdowns

Stats

  • Games 221
  • Approximate Value 153.6
  • AV/G 0.6950
  • Pro Bowls 6.6
  • First Team All-Pros 2.4
  • Receiving Yards 15189
  • Receiving Touchdowns 125.6
  • Receptions 1056
Fitzgerald is our highest rated Wide Receiver and he is second all-time in Receiving Yards, behind only Jerry Rice.  To meet the MPA in Touchdowns he only needs five more, which he is more than capable of meeting but that second and third First Team All-Pro seems unlikely.  That won’t matter as he is a Hall of Famer right now, despite his relatively low AV/G.

Stats

  • Games 250 (+29)
  • Approximate Value 133 (-20.6)
  • AV/G 0.5320 (-0.163)
  • Pro Bowls 11 (+4.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 1 (-1.4)
  • Receiving Yards 17083 (+1894)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 120 (-5.6)
  • Receptions 1378 (+322)
Jones just went to his sixth consecutive Pro Bowl and seventh overall.  Showing no signs of slowing down, he could reach every MPA at his position.  The debacle that was Antonio Brown’s 2019 season, allowed Jones to pass him in Receiving Yards for the decade, and any player who does that should be Hall of Fame bound.

Stats

  • Games 126 (-95)
  • Approximate Value 113 (-40.6)
  • AV/G 0.8968 (+0.2018)
  • Pro Bowls 7 (+0.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 2 (-0.4)
  • Receiving Yards 12125 (-3064)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 57 (-68.6)
  • Receptions 797 (-259)
Oh boy.   We have said openly on our audio shows that Brown probably would have followed Calvin Johnson into the Pro Football Hall of Fame had he retired after last year.  He didn’t, and Brown was arguably the recipient of the worst 12 months of Hall of Fame conversation despite being named to an All-Decade Team.  Should he come back, he will do so with an eight-game suspension.  Seriously, has anyone “acted” themselves out of the Hall of Fame more than Brown?  If anyone on the top portion of this list needs a comeback it is Antonio Brown!

Stats

  • Games 131 (-90)
  • Approximate Value 102 (-51.6)
  • AV/G 0.7786 (+0.0836)
  • Pro Bowls 7 (+0.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 4 (+1.6)
  • Receiving Yards 11263 (-3926)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 75 (-50.6)
  • Receptions 841 (-215)

Green missed the entire 2019 season due to injury and it derailed not only a run of seven straight Pro Bowls, but possibly an All-Decade spot.  At age 32, it is unknown what level he will come back at, and whether his new Quarterback, Joe Burrow, will become a magic tandem.  If it does, Green could get back on track.  If it doesn’t, he will struggle to gain any Canton traction.  This season is pivotal for the Wide Receiver.

Stats

  • Games 111 (-110)
  • Approximate Value 80 (-73.6)
  • AV/G 0.7207 (+0.0257)
  • Pro Bowls 7 (+0.4)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 8907 (-6282)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 63 (-62.6)
  • Receptions 602 (-454)

DeAndre Hopkins was part of what is believed to be the most lopsided trade of the 2020 preseason, when Houston traded him to Arizona.  Hopkins is one of the most exciting players to watch, and he achieved his first MPA with his third First Team All-Pro.  There is a belief that Hopkins can achieve greater heights, and if that push is only partially right, he is on a Hall of Fame path.

Stats

  • Games 110 (-111)
  • Approximate Value 68 (-85.6)
  • AV/G 0.6182 (-0.0768)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 3 (+0.6)
  • Receiving Yards 8602 (-6587)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 54 (-71.6)
  • Receptions 632 (-424)
Last year, we considered putting Thomas on the lower end of this list.  This year he skyrockets up, fresh off his second First Team All-Pro, and becoming the second Wide Receiver to win the Offensive Player of the Year Award.  The other one was Jerry Rice.  Thomas has played four years, and if he has just two more like the last two, he will have an excellent case.

Stats

  • Games 63 (-158)
  • Approximate Value 58 (-95.6)
  • AV/G 0.9206 (+0.2256)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 2 (-0.4)
  • Receiving Yards 5512 (-9677)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 32 (-93.6)
  • Receptions 470 (-586)
While this seems early, Hill has been incredible on the field with 2 First Team All-Pro Selections (though one was a Returner, which was also how he was named to the All-Decade Team), has been a Pro Bowl in all four of his seasons and has an AV/G well over the MPA.  If his off-field issues continue, it could affect him in the future, as more and more character matters. 

Stats

  • Games 59 (-162)
  • Approximate Value 50 (-103.6)
  • AV/G 0.8475 (+0.1525)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 2 (-0.4)
  • Receiving Yards 4155 (-11034)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 32 (-93.6)
  • Receptions 281 (-775)

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Hilton had a poor 2019 season with only 501 Receiving Yards, and he dipped below the AV/G watermark that we set.  Hilton will have a new Quarterback, but also appears to be injured going into the year.  Hilton definitely has a lot of work left to do to get back into the gold jacket conversation.

Stats

  • Games 118 (-103)
  • Approximate Value 77 (-76.6)
  • AV/G 0.6525 (-0.0425)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 8598 (-6591)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 45 (-80.6)
  • Receptions 552 (-504)
OBJ’s three Pro Bowls were in his first three seasons, and while his last Pro Bowl was in 2016, Beckham’s last two seasons were 1,000-Yard plus.  His popularity is still strong, and that only helps him in the future should he become a legit 50/50 candidate.

Stats

  • Games 75 (-146)
  • Approximate Value 54 (-99.6)
  • AV/G 0.7200 (+0.025)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 5476 (-9713)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 48 (-77.6)
  • Receptions 390 (-666)
A member of the 10,000 Yard Receiving Club, Jackson has to take the path of a compiler as he was close to the top tier of Wide Receivers, but never really was one.  Still with the Eagles as of this writing, Jackson’s injuries held him to only three Games in 2019, and an Anti-Semitic post on his social media could be toxic to his future employment, on the gridiron and off of it.  10,000 Receiving Yards isn’t enough anymore, unless it is done in seven seasons or less.  Jackson has played 12.

Stats

  • Games 156 (-65)
  • Approximate Value 91 (-62.6)
  • AV/G 0.5833 (-0.1117)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 10420 (-4769)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 55 (-70.6)
  • Receptions 598 (-458)
Landry has been named to the Pro Bowl in the last five years, and while his Touchdown production and AV/G is low for a potential Hall of Famer, he has the skills to explode for a monster year.  A First Team All-Pro Selection would not hurt either.

Stats

  • Games 96 (-125)
  • Approximate Value 50 (-103.6)
  • AV/G 0.5208 (-0.1742)
  • Pro Bowls 5 (-1.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 5014 (-10175)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 32 (-93.6)
  • Receptions 564 (-492)
Evans has been the top Wide Receiver for the Buccaneers for the last few seasons, and the three-time Pro Bowl Selection now has Tom Brady as his Quarterback.  He has quietly climbed over 7,000 Yards, is still young, and could keep piling up the stats, buy a First Team All-Pro would really help.

Stats

  • Games 90 (-131)
  • Approximate Value 55 (-98.6)
  • AV/G 0.6111 (-0.0839)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 7280 (-7909)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 48 (-77.6)
  • Receptions 462 (-594)
Keenan Allen went to three Pro Bowl and has had four 1,000-Yard seasons, but he has never been a First Team All-Pro.  He is in his prime now, but his “peak” needs to get higher.

Stats

  • Games 86 (-135)
  • Approximate Value 56 (-97.6)
  • AV/G 0.6512 (-0.0438)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 6405 (-8784)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 34 (-91.6)
  • Receptions 524 (-532)
Cooper has been a Pro Bowl Selection in four of his five seasons, but has never been an All-Pro, be it First Team or Second Team.  This appears to us that Cooper might have to go the route of a compiler, but that road has yielded Hall of Famers before.

Stats

  • Games 77 (-144)
  • Approximate Value 43 (-110.6)
  • AV/G 0.5584 (-0.1366)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 5097 (-10092)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 33 (-92.6)
  • Receptions 357 (-699)
The selling of Edelman to the Hall of Fame is primarily based on his playoff performances.  Edelman is a former Super Bowl MVP and has 1,422 Receiving Yards with five Touchdowns.

Stats

  • Games 131 (-90)
  • Approximate Value 69 (-84.6)
  • AV/G 0.5267 (-0.1683)
  • Pro Bowls 0 (-6.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 6507 (-8682)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 36 (-89.6)
  • Receptions 599 (-457)
Adams has been a dependable Wide Receiver for Green Bay, and he is a Pro Bowler the least three seasons.  He does however need to take his game up another notch and two to three years of increased production will help put him in the conversation.

Stats

  • Games 86 (-135)
  • Approximate Value 46 (-107.6)
  • AV/G 0.5349 (-0.1601)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-3.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 5194 (-9995)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 44 (-81.6)
  • Receptions 431 (-625)
As of this writing, Thomas is a Free Agent and he may not gain employment again.  The Hall of Fame is very far in the horizon now, and if he can gain employment again so that he can reach 10,000 Yards that might have to be enough.

Stats

  • Games 143 (-78)
  • Approximate Value 81 (-72.6)
  • AV/G 0.5664 (-0.1286)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-2.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 9763 (-5426)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 63 (-62.6)
  • Receptions 724 (-332)
Thielen had a bad 2019 with only 30 Receptions in 10 Games, but he was a Pro Bowl Selection in the two years before.

Stats

  • Games 90 (-131)
  • Approximate Value 39 (-114.6)
  • AV/G 0.4333 (-0.2617)
  • Pro Bowls 2 (-4.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 4315 (-10874)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 25 (-100.6)
  • Receptions 323 (-733)
Smith-Shuster is arguably more famous than his skill (that awesome name helps!), but this is the top Wide Receiver on a high-name team.  Juju could easily rocket up this list as easy as he could not appear.

Stats

  • Games 42 (-179)
  • Approximate Value 25 (-128.6)
  • AV/G 0.5952 (-0.0998)
  • Pro Bowls 1 (-5.6)
  • First Team All-Pros 0 (-2.4)
  • Receiving Yards 2895 (-12294)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 17 (-108.6)
  • Receptions 211 (-845)