The first month of the MLB season always feels a bit unsettled. Teams are still finding their rhythm, lineups shift from game to game, and early results don’t always reflect what a team will look like over a full season.

That unpredictability is part of what makes April interesting, but it also means bettors need to tighten their approach. 

In this article, we’ll look at how to approach MLB betting in the first month of the season and what to keep in mind during this early stretch.

Understanding Early Season Expectations

At the start of the season, expectations are still taking shape. Teams enter April with a mix of preseason projections and unknowns. Some clubs carry momentum from the previous year, while others are adjusting to roster changes, new coaching approaches, or different roles within the lineup.

Because of that, early matchups often feel more about interpretation than certainty. A team might look sharp in one series and struggle in the next, not necessarily because of long-term issues, but because things are still settling into place. Bettors are often working with limited information, trying to balance what was expected before the season with what’s happening in real time.

It also becomes important to understand how teams are being evaluated as a whole. Early in the year, those evaluations tend to reflect a blend of prior performance, offseason changes, and initial results rather than a fully established identity. 

That makes taking a step back to consider how each matchup is being framed beyond just recent wins or losses is essential.

As those expectations begin to take shape, many bettors look at how teams are being priced at resources such as FanDuel MLB odds. This information provides a clearer sense of how early-season matchups are viewed. It provides a useful reference point without needing to rely entirely on short-term results.

Recognizing How Small Sample Sizes Affect Early Results

One of the biggest challenges in the first month is understanding how little data is actually available. A few strong games can make a team look dominant, while a slow start might suggest problems that don’t necessarily exist over a longer stretch.

It’s easy to react to what just happened. A team that wins a few games in a row can quickly draw attention, while another that struggles early might be overlooked. But in April, those runs are often shaped by small samples rather than clear trends.

That’s why it helps to take a step back and look at how performances are being built. Are hitters consistently making solid contact, or are results coming from a handful of big moments? Are pitchers settling into their roles, or still working through adjustments? Looking at the structure behind results often gives a clearer picture than focusing only on outcomes.

Following Early Patterns Without Overreacting

Even though early results can be misleading, that doesn’t mean there’s nothing to learn. Patterns do begin to form, especially in how teams approach games, manage situations, and use their rosters.

Some teams may show a consistent approach at the plate, while others rely more on situational hitting. Pitching strategies can also vary, with certain rotations finding rhythm earlier than others. Paying attention to these details can help create a better understanding of how teams are evolving.

Many bettors also keep an eye on evolving MLB season trends to better understand how teams are settling into the new season. These trends don’t need to dictate every decision, but they can provide helpful context when comparing teams across different matchups.

The key is balance. Observing patterns is useful, but it’s important not to treat every early sign as a long-term indicator. April often requires patience more than certainty.

Paying Attention to Pitching Rotations and Lineup Adjustments

Early in the season, pitching rotations are still being fine-tuned. Starters are building up their workload, and managers are adjusting how they use both starters and relievers. This can lead to variations in how games unfold, especially in the later innings.

Lineups can also change frequently. Players are still settling into roles, and managers may experiment with different combinations to see what works best. That can affect consistency, particularly in how teams produce runs from game to game.

For bettors, this means focusing on context rather than assuming stability. A matchup might look straightforward on paper, but changes in the rotation or lineup can shift how the game plays out. Keeping track of these adjustments helps build a clearer picture of what to expect, even when the season is still developing.

Taking a Measured Approach While the Season Develops

The first month of the MLB season rewards patience. There’s a natural temptation to react quickly, especially when results seem to point in a certain direction. However, in many cases, those early signals need time to settle before they become reliable.

Taking a measured approach allows bettors to stay grounded. Rather than chasing every hot streak or avoiding every slow start, it becomes easier to focus on how teams are progressing over multiple games. This helps create a more stable perspective, even when results fluctuate.

Over time, that patience tends to pay off. As more games are played and roles become clearer, it becomes easier to interpret matchups with confidence. The first month isn’t about having all the answers. It’s about building a foundation for understanding how the season is taking shape.

Building a Stronger Approach as the Season Unfolds

April is a unique part of the MLB calendar. It offers a first look at how teams are coming together, but it also reminds fans that the season is still in its early stages. That combination makes it both exciting and unpredictable.

By focusing on context, staying patient, and paying attention to how teams develop over time, bettors can approach the first month with a clearer mindset. As the season moves forward, that early understanding becomes a valuable part of following the game in a more consistent and informed way.

Tarik Skubal emerged as the premier left-handed starter in the American League by way of the 2018 draft, a ninth-round find out of Seattle University who completely defied his modest draft slot. After debuting in the shortened 2020 season, he quickly established a reputation for high-velocity heat and a menacing presence on the mound.

Skubal’s trajectory in a Detroit uniform began to shift during a breakout 2021 rookie campaign, where he led the staff in wins and became the first Tigers rookie to strike out 100 batters before the All-Star break. While he showed the organization that he was a foundational ace in the making, the road to dominance wasn't without its obstacles. A forearm injury in late 2022 required flexor tendon surgery, a setback that sidelined him for nearly a year. However, his return in July 2023 served as a warning to the rest of the league; he posted a 2.80 ERA over 15 starts and earned American League Pitcher of the Month honors in September, signaling that he had reached a new level of offensive prevention just in time for a historic run.

In 2024, Skubal transitioned into the most dominant arm in baseball, becoming the first pitcher in the American League to win the Triple Crown since Justin Verlander. He demonstrated a specialized ability to miss bats while maintaining elite control, leading the league in wins, strikeouts, and ERA. He solidified his status as the leader of the staff by capturing the Cy Young Award and guiding the Tigers to an improbable postseason berth, ending the city's long playoff drought with a series of masterful October performances.

The bulk of his time thus far in Michigan has been spent on the constant refinement of his repertoire. Between 2023 and 2025, Skubal was a constant presence at the top of the leaderboards, recording a strikeout-to-walk ratio that ranked among the best in franchise history. He reached a career peak for individual dominance in 2025, where he won his second consecutive ERA title and earned another All-Star selection while maintaining a focused intensity that silenced opposing stadiums. He possessed a rare blend of power and movement, providing the steady-state dominance required to anchor a young staff. Despite the immense pressure of being the undisputed leader of the rotation, he remained a model of reliability, entering the 2026 season as the consensus best pitcher in the game.

Would you like to know what we love the most about the Final Four?  It means that we have a brand new Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame class!

This is the most female-dominated class in Hoops Hall history, and considering who was available on the women’s side, it could not have finished any other way.

Alphabetically, the 2026 Naismith Hall of Fame class is:

1996 U.S. Women’s National Olympic Team:  This was one of the most dominant squads in Olympic history, averaging a 20-point-plus differential throughout the tournament.  They beat Brazil in the Finals.  The team consisted of Jennifer Azzi, Ruthie Bolton-Holifield, Teresa Edwards, Venus Lacy, Lisa Leslie, Rebecca Lobo, Katrina McClain, Nikki McCray, Carla McGhee, Dawn Staley, Katy Steding, and Sheryl Swoopes, with Tara VanderVeer as their Head Coach. 

Joey Crawford (REF).  Crawford was an NBA Referee from 1977 to 2016 and worked 50 NBA Finals Games.  He was a controversial figure in the NBA, known for his confrontational and aggressive approach to assessing technical fouls.  Bluntly, this is not a good selection, as his negatives outweigh his positives.

Mike D’Antoni (COA).  D’Antoni had a long and traveled career as a Coach throughout the NBA and Europe.  In the United States, he is best known for leading Phoenix to two Conference Finals and for his runs as Head Coach of New York and Houston, and he is also a two-time NBA Coach of the Year.  D’Antoni also won two Italian Leagues as HC of Benneton Treviso, and he owns two Olympic Gold Medals as an Assistant Coach for the United States.  The sum of D’Antoni’s work is Hall of Fame worthy.

Elena Delle Donne (PLA).  Delle Donne was a superstar at the University of Delaware, where she was a two-time All-American.  Professionally, she split her WNBA career between Chicago and Washington, winning a WNBA Title with the Mystics. She also won two WNBA MVPs, was a four-time First Team All-WNBA Selection, and a seven-time All-Star.  She was also on the United States team that won the 2016 Gold Medal.  Outside of Candace Parker, this was as sure a thing as it was for induction.

Mark Few (COA).  Few are arguably the most important men in Gonzaga's history; as of this writing, he is still their head coach.  He took the Bulldogs to two Final Fours (2017 & 2021) and won 19 WCC Tournaments.  He is also a two-time Naismith Coach of the Year and a 12-time WCC Coach of the Year.  Where would Gonzaga be without Mark Few?

Chamique Holdsclaw (PLA).  Holdsclaw won three consecutive NCAA Championships at Tennessee (1996-98) and was the Naismith College Player of the Year in back-to-back seasons (1997 & 1998).  Professionally, she went to six WNBA All-Star Games and won one Scoring Title and two Rebounding Titles in a career spent with Washington, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and San Antonio.  She is already in the Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame, and now she is in the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame.

Candace Parker (PLA).  Considered one of the greatest women’s players of all time, Candace Parker won a truckload of awards at the University of Tennessee, capped by leading the Lady Vols to two National Championships.  Professionally, Parker led three different teams to WNBA Titles (Los Angeles, Chicago, and Las Vegas), and she also won a Defensive Player of the Year Award, two MVPs, was a seven-time First Team All-WNBA, and went to seven WNBA All-Star Games.  She also led the United States to two Olympic Gold Medals.  As mentioned earlier, this was the easiest decision the Hall had this year.

Doc Rivers (COA).  Nominated for the second time, Rivers is the current Head Coach of the Milwaukee Bucks and holds an NBA Championship, having led the Boston Celtics to a title in 2008.  A former Coach of the Year, Rivers was named one of the NBA’s 15 Greatest Coaches.  He is also a former Head Coach of the Orlando Magic, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Philadelphia 76ers, and is currently eighth all-time in Wins.

Amar’e Stoudemire (PLA).  Stoudemire was a six-time All-Star and five-time All-NBA Selection (one first Team and four Second Team) who had 15,994 Points and 6,632 Rebounds in a career with Phoenix, New York, Dallas, and Miami.  After his NBA career ended, he moved to Israel and won two Premier League Titles.  This is a minor surprise in some circles, as many fans (especially those who vote on our site) did not view him as a Hall of Famer.

Of note, this class does not include any Veterans Era candidates or anyone from the International side.

Those who were finalists and were not chosen were:

Jennifer Azzi (PLA):  Azzi was the Naismith Basketball Player of the Year in 1990, leading Stanford to a National Championship.  She was also on the gold medal-winning 1996 Olympic Women’s Team and won two more gold medals at the FIBA World Championship (1990 & 1998).  She was also inducted into the Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame and was a Naismith Basketball Finalist in 2023.  Azzi will be entering this year, as she was part of the 1996 Olympic Team.

Molly Bolin (PLA).  Bolin was one of the biggest stars of the Women’s Professional Basketball League in the late 70s, the first pro basketball league for women.  She was a three-time league All-Star and was the Co-MVP in 1980.

Tal Brody (COA).  Brody played collegiately at Illinois, but after competing at the Maccabiah Games in Israel, he was asked to stay, which led to a successful career in which he put Maccabi Tel Aviv and Israeli basketball on the map, a tagline he is known for.

Blake Griffin (PLA):  Griffin was one of the most exciting players in the first half of the 2010s and came as advertised after his 2009 National Player of the Year campaign at Oklahoma.  Known for his powerful dunks and prolific rebounding, Griffin made the Los Angeles Clippers a must-watch basketball team.  He won the 2011 Rookie of the Year, was a five-time All-NBA Selection (three Second Team and two Third Team), and a six-time All-Star.  Based on the weaker side of the men’s players’ ledger and the higher profile that Griffin has, we thought he might enter on his first ballot.

Dusan Ivkovic (COA).  A FIBA Hall of Fame inductee, Ivkovic played ten seasons for Radnicki Belgrade in the Yugoslavian League.  Although the Point Guard had a nice career and was nominated as a player, he had far more success as a coach at the club level and for Yugoslavia and Serbia, winning three EuroBasket Gold Medals and a FIBA World Gold Medal in 1990. 

Kevin Johnson (PLA).  Johnson played his college ball at California and was drafted by Cleveland in the 7th round, but was traded soon after to Phoenix, where he played the rest of his career.  With the Suns, Johnson was a four-time Second Team, one-time Third Team All-NBA Selection with three All-Stars, and he scored 13,127 Points and 6,711 Assists in the Association.  This is not the first time K.J. has been a Finalist and failed to enter Springfield.

Marques Johnson (PLA).  Johnson was recently considered in the North American era and is now in the Veterans’ category.  An NCAA Champion at UCLA, where he was the National College Player of the Year, Johnson was a one-time First Team All-NBA and two-time Second Team All-NBA Selection, and a five-time All-Star who mainly played with Milwaukee.   He averaged 20.1 Points per Game, and also played for the Los Angeles Clippers and Golden State. 

Gary McKnight (COA).  One of the most successful Coaches on the high school level, McKnight led Mater Dei High School to a National Championship, 11 California State Titles, and 39 League Titles.

Dick Motta (COA).  Motta helmed Weber State to three Big Sky Titles (and a Big Sky Coach of the Year), but his best work was in the NBA, where he coached the Washington Bullets to a championship in 1978.  He was also the NBA Coach of the Year in 1971 with the Chicago Bulls and served as HC for the Dallas, Sacramento, and Denver franchises.

Kelvin Sampson (COA).  Sampson first served as a Head Coach at Montana Tech, where he led his team to three Conference Tournament titles.  Washington State later hired him and then hired him as the HC at Oklahoma, where he led the Sooners to a Final Four and four Big 12 Tournament championships.  Currently, Sampson is the Head Coach at the University of Houston, where he has led the Cougars to two Final Fours.  As of this writing, he has 808 wins.

Jerry Welsh (COA).  Welsh was the Head Coach at SUNY Potsdam, where he compiled a 494-141 record from 1968 to 1991 and won two National Championships in 1981 and 1986.

Buck Williams (PLA).  Williams won the 1982 Rookie of the Year Award and was a three-time All-Star in his time with the New Jersey Nets.  He also played for Portland and New York, was a four-time All-Defensive Selection (two First Team and two Second Team), and had 16,784 career Points and 13,017 Rebounds.

We will be revising our Notinhalloffame Basketball list in late May, removing those who got in and adding those who will be eligible for 2027.

We here at Notinhalloffame would like to congratulate the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame Class of 2026

1993 SEMI-FINAL RESULTS:

Thank you for your participation in the Pro Football Hall of Fame Revisited Project. If you are unaware of what that is, we acted like the PFHOF had its first class in January 1946.

We have completed the years up to 1992.

For “1993,” a Preliminary Vote with nearly 100 players whose playing career ended by 1986. We also follow the structure in which players have 20 years of eligibility, and if they do not make it into the Hall, they are relegated to the Senior Pool.

Each voter was asked to select 25 names from the preliminary list, and the top 25 vote-getters were named Semi-Finalists.

A week later, the voters were asked to pick 15 names from the 25 Semi-Finalists, and next week, they will choose five from the remaining 15. We will continue this process every week until we catch up to the current year.

32 votes were cast, with the top 15 advancing.

This is for the “Modern Era”

Bold indicates they advanced to the Finals: 

This is for the “Senior Era”

*Bold indicates they advanced to the Finals:

This is for the “Coaches/Contributors Era”

*Bold indicates they advanced to the Finals:

We will post the Class of 1993 Pro Football Hall of Fame Revisited Project next Saturday.

Thank you to all who contributed. If you want to be part of this project, please let us know!