gold star for USAHOF

Running Backs (5)

Jerome Bettis (2015), Terrell Davis (2017), Edgerrin James (2020), Curtis Martin (2012), LaDainian Tomlinson (2017).

Modern Positional Average

Running Backs

Here are the five Running Backs who have entered the Pro Football Hall of Fame and played within the last 25 years.  They comprise our baseline:

Jerome Bettis (2015), Terrell Davis (2017), Edgerrin James (2020), Curtis Martin (2012) & LaDainian Tomlinson (2017).

The last five Running Backs who entered the Pro Football Hall of Fame are a talented group of individuals who redefined the running game, but as football moves even more toward the air, the bar set by these greats will make it harder for the current crop to gain induction.

Here are the statistical averages that we are using based on the last group of Running Backs to enter the Pro Football Hall of Fame:

  • Games Played: 151.2
  • Approximate Value: 121.4
  • Approximate Value per Games Played: 0.8029
  • Games Started: 137.2
  • Approximate Value per Games Started: 0.8848
  • Approximate Value per Five-Year Peak: 78.6
  • Approximate Value’s Best Five Results: 86
  • MVP Top Five Finishes* **: 4.2
  • Offensive Player of the Year* **: 7.0
  • Pro Bowls: 4.6
  • First Team All-Pros*: 2
  • Rushing Yards: 12,240
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak: 7,109.8
  • Top Five Rushing Yards Finish 12.8
  • Receiving Yards: 2,839
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak: 1,648.8
  • Receiving Touchdowns: 9.2
  • Yards From Scrimmage: 15,098
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak: 8,740.6
  • Top Five Yards From Scrimmage Finish: 11.4
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage: 90.8
  • Top Five Touchdowns From Scrimmage Finish: 9.2
  • Super Bowl Wins 0.6
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0.8

*This is an aggregate of the Top Five finishes (5th = 1, 4th = 2, 3rd = 3, 2nd = 4th, 1st = 5)
**This is a reminder that the All-Pros we use are from the AP.

Stats

  • Games 151.2
  • Approximate Value 121.4
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8029
  • Games Started 137.2
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8848
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 76.4
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 78.6
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 4.2
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 7
  • Pro Bowls 4.6
  • First Team AP All-Pros 2.0
  • Rushing Yards 12240
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak 7109.8
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Yard Finishes 12.8
  • Rushing Touchdowns 89.2
  • Rushing Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 58.8
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Touchdowns Finishes 10
  • Receiving Yards 2839
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 1648.8
  • Receiving Touchdowns 9.2
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 6.8
  • Yards From Scrimmage 15098.8
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak 8740.6
  • Top Five Aggregated Yards From Scrimmage Finishes 11.4
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage 90.8
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown From Scrimmage 9.2
  • Super Bowl Championships 0.6
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0.8

2025 Pre-Season Rank #11, 2024 Pre-Season Rank #23, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #39, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #47, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #70, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #108.  Peak Period: 2019-20/2022-24

The Running Back is dead.  Long live the Running Back.

When many football fans and journalists called the death of rushing, Derrick Henry (and Saquon Barkley) had other ideas, but we have been surpised by Henry before

In 2019, it felt like Derrick Henry won the Rushing Title out of nowhere, as he was in his fourth year, and he only had 1,059 Yards the year before.  In 2020, Henry won his second Rushing Title, shattering his previous mark, and joined the 2,000 Yard Rushing club, won the Offensive Player of the Year.  Had he not gotten injured during the 2021 season, Henry was on his way to his second straight OPOY.  After a bounce back in 2022 that saw him net his third 1,500-yard campaign.  

After one more year in Tennessee, it was clear that the Titans were looking to move on, and the Baltimore Ravens signed Henry to join their potent offense.  In his first season in Baltimore, Henry rushed for 1,921 Yards and led the league in Rushing Touchdowns (16).  Last season, Henry was electric again, with 1,595 more Rushing Yards and 16 more TDs.  His work in Baltimore has been phenomenal, and he is now over 13,000 Yards on the ground and an astonishing 122.  Is Emmitt Smith’s 164 in reach?

Whatever happens forward, it was his first two seasons in Baltimore that sealed the Canton deal.

Stats

  • Games 153 (+1.8)
  • Approximate Value 102 (-19.4)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6667 (-0.1362)
  • Games Started 122 (-15.2)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8361 (-0.0487)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 65 (-11.4)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 69 (-9.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 7
  • Pro Bowls 5 (+0.4)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-1)
  • Rushing Yards 13018 (+778)
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak 8193 (+1083.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Yard Finishes 26 (+13.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 122 (+32.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 74 (+15.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Touchdowns Finishes 26 (+16)
  • Receiving Yards 1801 (-1038)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 1325 (-323.8)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 5 (-4.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 4 (-2.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage 13074 (-2024.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak 9268 (+527.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Yards From Scrimmage Finishes 15 (+3.6)
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage 111 (+20.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown From Scrimmage 812 (+802.8)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)

2025 Pre-Season Rank #21, 2024 Pre-Season Rank #16, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #55 Pre-Season Rank #66, 2021 Pre-Season Rank #76, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #81. Peak Period: 2017-18/2021-23

When we look at the 2026 Pro Football Hall of Fame Class, the induction of Roger Craig bodes well for another current 49er, Christian McCaffrey.

McCaffrey started his career with the Carolina Panthers, and in 2019, he joined Craig by rushing for over 1,000 yards and catching passes for over 1,000 yards—a rare accomplishment only shared by Craig and McCaffrey. Injuries hindered his progress in the following two years, but in 2022, when he was healthy and returned to Pro Bowl form, the team that had given up and traded him to San Francisco surrounded him. McCaffrey is one of the most adaptable running backs, but his role often involves dealing with injuries. 

In 2023, McCaffrey won his first Rushing Title, while also winning his second Yards From Scrimmage and Touchdown title.  This was an incredible campaign that as per usual CMC fashion, was followed by an injury-plagued year.

Last season, McCaffrey had his third 2,000-yard-plus YFS year, and is in a place where he is 21 yards shy of 13,000 in YFS, and is still capable of pounding more yards as long as the injury bug does not bite.

Is CMC a Hall of Famer?  Craig’s induction surely helps, but a ring would help more!

Stats

  • Games 112 (-39.2)
  • Approximate Value 100 (-21.4)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.8928 (+0.0899)
  • Games Started 105 (-32.2)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.9375 (+0.0527)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 73 (-3.4)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 81 (+2.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 5 (+0.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 13 (+6)
  • Pro Bowls 4 (-0.6)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 3 (+1)
  • Rushing Yards 7589 (-4651)
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak 5518 (-1591.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Yard Finishes 8 (-4.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 52 (-37.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 46 (-12.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Touchdowns Finishes 5 (-5)
  • Receiving Yards 5390 (+2551)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 3829 (+2180.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 36 (+26.8)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 27 (+20.2)
  • Yards From Scrimmage 12975 (-2123.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak 9346 (+605.4)
  • Top Five Aggregated Yards From Scrimmage Finishes 20 (+8.6)
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage 98 (+7.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown From Scrimmage 13 (+3.8)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2025 Pre-Season Rank ##51, 2024 Pre-Season Rank #117, 2023 Pre-Season Rank #122, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #132 2021 Pre-Season Rank #101, 2020 Pre-Season Rank #100.  2018-19/2023-25

Last year, we said, “Barkley has a lot of catch-up to do regarding his initial Hall of Fame promise.  A player injured that badly and early always struggles, and Barkley is no different.”

Barkley is different.

No ranked player jumped higher than Barkley, who we feared injuries would take out of a Hall of Fame conversation.  Not only was he healthy on a new team (Philadelphia), but he is also a Super Bowl Champion and the defending Offensive Player of the Year.  He also joined the 2,000-Yard Rushing Club, won his first Rushing Title (2,005), his second APY Title (2,283), and, along with Derrick Henry, brought back the Running Back.

At home in Philadelphia, Barkley’s only issues will be with injury, and another monster year will put him in the Hall of Fame hunt.  We won’t bet against him again.

Stats

  • Games 106 (-45.2)
  • Approximate Value 73 (-48.4)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.6877 (-0.1152)
  • Games Started 106 (-31.2)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.6877 (-0.1971)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 56 (-20.4)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 61 (-17.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 3 (-1.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 5 (-2)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-1.6)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-1)
  • Rushing Yards 8356 (-3884)
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak 6407 (-702.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Yard Finishes 11 (-1.8)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 55 (-34.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 43 (-15.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Touchdowns Finishes 1 (-9)
  • Receiving Yards 2651 (-188)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 2055 (+406.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 16 (+6.8)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 12 (+5.2)
  • Yards From Scrimmage 11007 (-4091.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak 8236 (-504.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Yards From Scrimmage Finishes 10 (-1.4)
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage 71 (-19.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown From Scrimmage 3 (-6.2)
  • Super Bowl Championships 1 (+0.4)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 1 (+0.2)

2025 Pre-Season Rank #70, 2024 Pre-Season Rank #98, 2023 Pre-Season Rank: #107, 2022 Pre-Season Rank #111.  Peak Period: 2021-25

After a good rookie year in 2020, Taylor exploded, leading the NFL in Rushing Yards (1,811) and Rushing Touchdowns (18), and a Running Back needs a year like this to place you on the tip of the tongue of Hall of Fame voters, regardless of how early in your career you do it.  In 2022, Taylor had a great start to the season but was held to 11 Games due to ankle issues. In 2023, he held out, delaying his start until that year.

We said two years ago that one monstrous season doesn’t make a Hall of Fame career, and Taylor would have to reclaim that 2021 magic for a serious Hall of Fame list jump.   He had a bounce-back 1,431-yard/11-touchdown year and returned to the Pro Bowl in 2024, but last season he was better, with a third Pro Bowl year and league-leading 18 TDs along with 1,963 YFS. 

As such, he vaulted up the list and can again if he has another great year.

Stats

  • Games 84 (-67.2)
  • Approximate Value 64 (-57.4)
  • Approximate Value per Game 0.7619 (-0.041)
  • Games Started 78 (-59.2)
  • Approximate Value per Games Started 0.8205 (-0.0643)
  • Approximate Value: Five-Year Peak 53 (-23.4)
  • Approximate Value: Best Five Years 59 (-19.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated MVP Finishes 0 (-4.2)
  • Top Five Aggregated OPOY Finishes 4 (-3)
  • Pro Bowls 3 (-1.6)
  • First Team AP All-Pros 1 (-1)
  • Rushing Yards 7598 (-4642)
  • Rushing Yards Five-Year Peak 6429 (-680.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Yard Finishes 13 (+0.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns 69 (-20.2)
  • Rushing Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 58 (-0.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Rushing Touchdowns Finishes 10
  • Receiving Yards 1469 (-1370)
  • Receiving Yards Five-Year Peak 1170 (-478.8)
  • Receiving Touchdowns 7 (-2.2)
  • Receiving Touchdowns Five-Year Peak 6 (-0.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage 9064 (-6034.8)
  • Yards From Scrimmage Five-Year Peak 7599 (-1141.6)
  • Top Five Aggregated Yards From Scrimmage Finishes 8 (-3.4)
  • Touchdowns From Scrimmage 76 (-14.8)
  • Top Five Aggregated Touchdown From Scrimmage 10 (+0.8)
  • Super Bowl Championships 0 (-0.6)
  • Super Bowl Appearances 0 (-0.8)