50 Active Potential Basketball Hall of Famers

Our Basketball Hall of Fame monitor looks at the following criteria:

The most significant factor we look at is how each active player measures up to the last fourteen players who were chosen.  To be specific, we are focusing only on players who were voted through the conventional means and not through any special committee.  What this means that no Direct-Elect Committee Inductees will part of the comparisons.  The Direct-Elect categories are Contributors, Early African-American Pioneers, International, and Veterans.  Please note that at present, we are not ranking women, but may make a separate list in the future. 

Inspired by Jay Jaffe’s JAWS statistic that looks at the best seven-year stretch of a baseball player according to bWAR, we are doing the same with current basketball players.  Specifically, we compiled the average PER, Win Shares and VORP for each of the past Hall of Famers based on their best seven-year period.  The additional thinking behind this is that in Basketball, there is an additional focus on periods of greatness as opposed to sports like Baseball, where compiling statistics is more glorified.

As opposed to what we have done with Football, we are not isolating these metrics by their position as the PER, Win Shares and VORP considers everything.

We are also looking at the amount of All-Star Games and All-NBA Selections.  In terms of the All-NBA and All-Defensive Selections, we are compiling in a weighted fashion.  In terms of Third Team All-NBA Selections, one point will be assigned, Second Team All-NBA Selections will have two points will be granted, and First Team All-NBA Selections will have three points. 

So, let’s continue!

The 14 players from the last four induction classes who we are using for the composite averages are:

Ray Allen, Maurice Cheeks, Vlade Divac, Bobby Jones, Grant Hill, Allen Iverson, Jason Kidd, Tracy McGrady, Yao Ming, Sidney Moncrief, Steve Nash, Shaquille O’Neal, Jack Sikma and Paul Westphal.

Please note that although the International Committee chose Vlade Divac, we include him due to his long NBA career.  He is the only exception to our rule.

Here are the averages:

Based on their elite seven-year stretch the average PER of the last 14 Modern Era Hall of Famers is 21.5.

Based on their elite seven-year stretch, the average Win Shares of the last 14 Modern Era Hall of Famers is 65.1.

Based on their elite seven-year stretch, the average VORP of the last 14 Modern Era Hall of Famers is 27.8.

With All-Star and All-NBA Selections, we look at the entire career of the player. 

The average All-Star Selections of the last 14 Modern Era Hall of Famers is 7.4.

The average All-Pro Selections (based on the pointed average of one for a Third Team, two for a Second Team and three for a First Team Selection) is 9.8.

We are also adding NBA Championships. Often,  players in this team sport more than any other (except for NFL Quarterbacks) are judged by the number of rings they have.  Perhaps, that shouldn't be as regarded as it is, considering the average amount of titles of our last 14 Modern Era Hall of Famers is less than 1.  Specifically, it is 0.79.

Wrapping this up in a bow, the six variables we are looking at Elite Period PER, Elite Period Win Shares, Elite Period VORP, All-Star Games, Weighted All-Pro Selections, NBA Championships.

This is all simple enough, right?

A few more notes before we begin:

As the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame recognizes College and International accomplishments, we will mention those if any are significant.  Those add-ons can (and have) pushed a bubble candidate to immortality in Springfield.

This list is based on the beginning of the 2019-20 Season:

Please remember that this list is based on accomplishments and not necessarily future potential.  Think of it as where they stand if their career ended today.

Any asterisk in front of a statistic indicates that this metric exceeds the average.

**In front of a player means that the seven-year elite period was up to last season and could extend, thus potentially increasing their averages.

***In front of a player means that he has yet to play seven seasons.

Ray Allen, Maurice Cheeks, Vlade Divac, Bobby Jones, Grant Hill, Allen Iverson, Jason Kidd, Tracy McGrady, Yao Ming, Sidney Moncrief, Steve Nash, Shaquille O’Neal, Jack Sikma and Paul Westphal.

Please note that although the International Committee chose Vlade Divac, we include him due to his long NBA career.  He is the only exception to our rule.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 21.5
  • Elite Period Win Shares 65.1
  • Elite Period VORP 27.8
  • All-Star Selections 7.4
  • All-Pro Selections 9.8
  • NBA Championships 0.79

James has become every bit of the Hall of Fame lock that pundits said he would be when he was drafted 1st Overall in 2003.  James doesn't just exceed our six criteria; he destroys them.  Already a bona fide Hall of Famer years ago, the only question left is where he finishes in terms of the greatest of all-time.  A fourth Championship with the Lakers should cement him as top-three, but as of now, there is NOBODY who is in King James' HOF level on this list.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 29.7 (+8.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 114.3 (+49.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 61.9 (+34.1)
  • All-Star Selections 15 (+7.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 41 (+31.2)
  • NBA Championships 3 (+2.21)
  • Additional Notes James has also won 2 Olympic Gold, 1 Olympic Bronze, 1 FIBA World Bronze, 1 FIBA Americas Gold for the United States

As each year goes by, Kevin Durant becomes less and less media-friendly, but does it matter?  It shouldn't, as his legend is officially secured.  Now that his run with the Golden State Warriors is officially over, he did exactly what he set out to do in winning a championship, which he won two.  The former MVP enters his first season with Brooklyn on the disabled list.  Saying that we can't wait to see his third act begin once he can play again. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 27.1 (+5.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 97.7 (+32.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 38.6 (+10.8)
  • All-Star Selections 10 (+2.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 24 (+14.2)
  • NBA Championships 2 (+1.21)
  • Additional Notes Durant also has won 2 Olympic Gold, 1 World Championship Gold for the United States. He was a Consensus National College Player of the Year, All-American and Big 12 Player of the Year at Texas
Paul enters an interesting season as the trade from Houston is the official stamp that he is no longer an elite NBA player.  While it will be fascinating to see how the rest of his career plays out, he is already a Hall of Fame worthy player.  This will be the case, whether he has an NBA Championship Ring or not.  Luckily for Chris Paul, there is still time for him to capture that accolade, but that won't happen in OKC.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 26.6 (+5.1)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 96.1 (+31)
  • Elite Period VORP 43.9 (+16.1)
  • All-Star Selections 9 (+1.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 19 (+9.2)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Paul also has won 2 Olympic Gold, 1 FIBA World Bronze for the United States, and was a Consensus All-American and First Team All-ACC player at Wake Forest
Just ranked over his new teammate, Russell Westbrook, James Harden is now chasing their first NBA Championship together as a Houston Rocket.  Harden's last two years have seen him win two Scoring Titles and an MVP.   Throw in his International and College achievements, and he is undoubtedly a Hall of Famer right now.  The only question now is can he go into Springfield as an NBA Champion.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 26.5 (+5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 100.9 (+35.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 53.0 (+25.2)
  • All-Star Selections 7 (-0.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 16 (+6.2)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Harden also has won 1 Olympic Gold, 1 FIBA World Gold for the United States, and was a First Team All-American and Pac-10 Player of the Year at Arizona State

Steph Curry has two MVPs and three NBA Championships, and we can say that he is a Hall of Famer now as nobody who has done that has been kept out of Springfield.  The interesting thing now will be to see how well Curry and the Warriors perform in a season where they are not expected to win the West. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 25.8 (+4.3)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 89.4 (+24.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 45.4 (+17.6)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 14 (+4.2)
  • NBA Championships 3 (+2.21)
  • Additional Notes Curry also has 2 World Cup Gold Medals for the United States and was a Consensus First Team All-American at Davidson
Russell Westbrook is entering his first season in Houston, and the former MVP has a lot to prove.  In his last year with Oklahoma City, Westbrook wasn't the team's best player.  That would be Paul George was.  Now he is set to team with his former OKC cohort, James Harden, and he isn't likely to be the best player this year.  While he does have some accomplishments (namely a Championship) that he is still chasing, the former MVP and above stats show him as a Hall of Famer already.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 26.0 (+4.5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 71.5 (+6.4)
  • Elite Period VORP 49.4 (+21.6)
  • All-Star Selections 8 (+0.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 17 (+7.2)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Westbrook also has won 1 Olympic Gold and 1 FIBA World Gold with the United States. He would play two years at UCLA and was once the Pac-10 Defensive Player of the Year.

Howard falls short on the Elite Period VORP, but this was a player who at one time was considered the best Center in the NBA and was also, a three-time Defensive Player of the Year.   Howard was considered a Hall of Fame lock six years ago, but since then he has bounced around the league.   It also doesn't help that a plethora of former teammates have said they were happier without him.  Howard can't replicate his numbers of past, but if he accepts his role in Los Angeles, he can help steer the narrative. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 23.9 (+2.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 71.6 (+6.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 25.6 (-2.2)
  • All-Star Selections 8 (+0.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 19 (+9.2)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Howard also has won 1 Olympic Gold, 1 FIBA World Bronze and 1 FIBA Americas Gold for the United States.
As of this writing, Carmelo Anthony is still looking for a home in the NBA, and we may have already seen his last game.  Anthony only makes two of the above six thresholds, but the common belief is that he is a Hall of Fame worthy player at this moment.  For those who say he never won an NBA Title (which you can see that many haven’t), Melo is a three-time Gold Medalist and NCAA Champion.   We have to reiterate that those accolades matter in terms of Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame selection.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.4 (+0.9)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 51.5 (-13.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 17.5 (-10.3)
  • All-Star Selections 10 (+2.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 8 (-1.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Anthony has also has won 3 Olympic Golds and 1 Olympic Bronze, 1 FIBA World Bronze and 1 FIBA Americas Gold for the United States. He is also an NCAA Champion, Final Four MVP and Consensus Second Team All-American at Syracuse
Pau Gasol has just enough on his NBA merits alone to make a Hall of Fame case, but when you add his accomplishments for Spain, he should have no problem getting in.  He is 39, and he does not have a lot left in the tank, but he should be a second or third year ballot Hall of Fame inductee.  He could even be in the first ballot is there are not many heavyweights around him in his (their) first year of eligibility. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.5 (+1)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 75.3 (+10.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 30.7 (+2.9)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 6 (-3.8)
  • NBA Championships 2 (+1.21)
  • Additional Notes Gasol has also has won 2 Olympic Silvers and 1 Olympic Bronze, 1 FIBA World Gold, 3 EuroBasket Golds, 2 EuroBasket Silvers and 2 EuroBasket Bronze representing Spain
While the term "iconic figure" is brandished about in Basketball often, this is no stretch to say that Vince Carter is just that.  This stemmed from his dunks and athletic charisma, and there was a time when he was considered the most exciting player in Basketball.  In his prime, he wasn't called a leader, but here he is still playing past the age of 40, and he fully embraced the elder statesman and mentor role.  Who would have thought!

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.3 (+0.8)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 60.5 (-4.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 30.7 (+2.9)
  • All-Star Selections 8 (+0.6)
  • All-Pro Selections 2 (-7.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Carter has also has won 1 Olympic Gold and 1 FIBA Americas Gold for the United States. He also played at the University of North Carolina and appeared in two Final Fours and was a Consensus Second Team All-American
Everybody has known for years that Anthony Davis is a phenomenal player, but he never had anyone close to his level to play at his side.  He does now, and more eyes will be on him than ever before.  As he has played exactly seven seasons, his Elite Period metrics should increase as he is just that good!

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 27.4 (+5.9)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 72.0 (+6.9)
  • Elite Period VORP 27.6 (-0.2)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 6 (-3.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Davis has also has won 1 Olympic Gold and 1 FIBA World Cup playing for the United States. At the University of Kentucky, he would lead the Wildcats to a National Championship. He would also win the Final Four MVP, was a Consensus First Team All-American, Consensus MVP and the Defensive Player of the Year.

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George would have the best year of his life last season as it was, he and not Russell Westbrook who was OKC’s best player.  Finishing third in MVP voting, George now has Kawhi as his teammate as both migrated to Los Angeles and a title will rocket George up this list.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 19.9 (-1.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 56.8 (-8.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 26.4 (-1.4)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 7 (-2.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes George also has won 1 Olympic Gold Medal with the United States. He also played two years at Fresno State
Leonard won two NBA Championships with two different teams (San Antonio & Toronto) and was the MVP in both Finals.  That fact alone makes him a Hall of Famer in many eyes.  He falls below the Elite Period Win Shares and VORP, but he is still in that period, and those stats will climb.  If he leads the Los Angeles Clippers to a championship, it will never matter what stats he posts after. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 23.3 (+1.8)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 60.3 (-4.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 27.0 (-0.8)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 8 (-1.8)
  • NBA Championships 2 (+1.21)
  • Additional Notes Leonard was also a Second Team All-American at San Diego State
Giannis Antetokounmpo is the reigning MVP and is still improving.  He has only played six seasons; thus, his Elite Period numbers are likely to skyrocket.  Nobody in our top twenty has greater upside than the “Greek Freak” and another monster season will propel him over the Elite Win Shares and VORP average.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 21.9 (+0.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 53.2 (-11.9)
  • Elite Period VORP 24.8 (-3)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 7 (-2.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Antetokounmpo has represented Greece in two World Cups
When we were putting this together, we actually thought Kyrie would be higher in terms of his advanced stats, but his elite period is still on.  Irving's reputation may have taken a slight tumble with the way things went in Boston, but if he takes Brooklyn deep into the playoffs and a title, later on, all is forgiven (except in Boston).  Irving's international accomplishments also help him, should his game fall off a cliff, but nobody thinks that will happen to the 27-year old Point Guard.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.2 (+0.7)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 54.3 (-10.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 22.8 (-5)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 3 (-6.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Irving also played one year for Duke and has won an Olympic Gold and World Cup Gold Medal for the United States.
Unless his elite period shifts (which it could), Griffin will fall short on Win Shares and VORP but is very close.  Two things bode well for his Hall of Fame candidacy.  The first is that he had a comeback year, being named Third Team All-NBA after a four-year absence from an All-NBA accolade.  The second is that he is a former Player of the Year at Oklahoma, and this counts in the overall picture.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.8 (+1.3)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 62.4 (-2.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 25.6 (-2.2)
  • All-Star Selections 6 (-1.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 8 (-1.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Griffin was also a National College Player of the Year, First Team All-American and Big 12 Player of the Year at Oklahoma.
Aldridge has been an All-Star for the seven of the last eight years, and if he is an All-Star again this year, he will break the HOF average.  He will, however, fall short with the Elite Period Win Shares and VORP and might need a bit of help in terms of a title or that aforementioned eighth All-Star to help put him over.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 21.9 (+0.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 58.6 (-6.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 14.4 (-13.4)
  • All-Star Selections 7 (-0.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 7 (-2.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Aldridge was also a Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year at Texas.
Love was out most of last year due to a foot injury, and he is the lone star left of the Cavaliers' championship team.  His All-Star days are likely behind him, and there is a good chance that there won't be a significant addition to his resume.  He probably has enough now, but the career narrative on Love is not as strong as it used to be.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.5 (+1)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 60.3 (-4.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.3 (-6.5)
  • All-Star Selections 5 (-2.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 4 (-5.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Love also took UCLA to a Final Four, and he was a First Team All-American and Pac-10 Player of the Year. Representing the United States, Love was a Gold Medalist in both the Olympics and World Cup
Lillard is not discussed much in terms of the Basketball Hall of Fame, but small-market Portland has one of the best players that few people talk about.  As he has played seven seasons, his elite period could fluctuate and bring him over the PER average.  Notably, the season in question that could be dropped off of the Elite Period era would be his Rookie of the Year winning campaign where he had a 16.4 PER.  He is definitely on the rise.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 21.4 (-0.1)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 70.3 (+5.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 29.9 (+2.1)
  • All-Star Selections 4 (-3.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 8 (-1.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Lillard played at Weber State and was a two-time Big Sky Player of the Year.
There is a good chance that the Elite Period for Lowry is over, but if it isn't, a sixth All-Star Game will do a lot for his Hall of Fame cause.  Lowry missed a massive opportunity as Team U.S.A. did poorly in the FIBA World Cup.   Had the Americans won, Lowry would have been the second player to win an NBA Title and World Cup Gold Medal in a calendar year.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 19.8 (-1.7)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 62.9 (-2.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 31.0 (+3.2)
  • All-Star Selections 5 (-2.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Lowry played at Villanova in college, and he also won a Gold Medal for Team U.S.A. at the 2016 Olympics
Marc Gasol just made history as the second player to win the NBA Championship and FIBA World Cup in the same calendar year.  The Spaniard is not the dominating presence he once was, but his International accomplishments have some pundits painting him as a lock.  It will have to as his overall NBA accomplishments show him as under the bar, but he does have that Defensive Player of the Year on his ledger.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.9 (-2.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 55.5 (-9.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 25.2 (-2.6)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 5 (-4.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Representing Spain, Gasol has won two Olympic Silver Medals, two World Cup Gold Medals, and in EuroBasket, he has two Golds, one Silver, and two Bronze Medals
Thompson begins the season on the IR due to a torn ACL, which obviously negates him from adding much to his Hall of Fame cause.  This is little more than a holding pattern season.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 16.4 (-5.1)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 46.8 (-18.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 11.3 (-16.5)
  • All-Star Selections 5 (-2.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 2 (-7.8)
  • NBA Championships 3 (+2.21)
  • Additional Notes Thompson played for Washington State and was a two-time All-Pac-10 Selection. Representing the United States, he was a Gold Medalist in both the Olympics and World Cup
Horford joins the Sixers team that is set to contend for the NBA Championship, though of course, he thought the same when he joined the Celtics three years ago.  His All-Star Selections may be behind him, but an NBA Championship could change the narrative.  His Elite Period stats are hampered by two seasons where he missed a ton of games, but he is an excellent player who is still compiling good numbers.  That might have to be his route to Springfield.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 20.2 (-1.3)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 51.9 (-13.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.5 (-6.3)
  • All-Star Selections 5 (-2.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Horford won two NCAA titles at Florida and was a Third-Team All-American. He plays Internationally for the Dominican Republic and won a FIBA Bronze Medal
Rondo's Elite Period is well in his rear-view mirror, but he was already an NBA Champion when he was with the Celtics.   It also needs to be reiterated how much he helped them win that title.  If he wins a second with the Lakers this year and does so in a contributing fashion, his chances improve.  It also should be discussed that in terms of traditional stats, Rondo is a three-time Assists Champion and one-time Steals Champion. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 17.6 (-3.9)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 42.6 (-22.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 17.1 (-10.7)
  • All-Star Selections 4 (-3.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Rondo played two years at the University of Kentucky
Already a three-time NBA Champion, Draymond Green's key to the Hall of Fame will be his defensive acumen.  He is already a former Defensive Player of the Year and has been named to three First Team and two Second Team All-Defensive rosters.  Green has played precisely seven years and his Elite Period numbers should rise. 

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 15.3 (-6.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 43.3 (-21.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.5 (-6.3)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 3 (-6.8)
  • NBA Championships 3 (+2.21)
  • Additional Notes Green played for Michigan State and was a Consensus All-American, NABC National Player of the Year and Big Ten Player of the Year. He also won a Gold Medal in the Olympics for the United States
Jimmy Butler enters his first season with the Miami Heat, and while his last year with Minnesota and Philadelphia was tumultuous, he was still productive.  If he has a great year in South Beach, his Elite Period metrics will rise, and he could conceivably make the average of all three next year.  Notably, he is also a four-time Second Team All-Defensive Player.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 20.1 (-1.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 65.0 (-0.099999999999994)
  • Elite Period VORP 26.0 (-1.8)
  • All-Star Selections 4 (-3.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 2 (-7.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Butler played three years at Marquette
Oh boy.  Derrick Rose is in grave danger of becoming the first former NBA MVP not to make the Hall of Fame.   If you look at his overall numbers, Rose probably shouldn't be inducted.  Rose had a fantastic comeback last year with the Minnesota Timberwolves, but he needs to keep that going.  His chance for the Hall relies on that MVP and sentiment.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.3 (-3.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 31.4 (-33.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 10.6 (-17.2)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 3 (-6.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Rose played for Memphis where he was a Third Team All-American and took the Tigers to NCAA Championship Game. He also won a Gold Medal at the Olympics and the World Cup for the United States.
Wall and the Washington Wizards have been downward trending for the past two years, and he enters this season on the IR with a torn ACL.  It looks like his Elite Period is over, and if that is true, he is a bubble candidate; a strange though two years ago.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 20.1 (-1.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 41.0 (-24.1)
  • Elite Period VORP 20.4 (-7.4)
  • All-Star Selections 5 (-2.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Wall played at the University of Kentucky and won the Adolph Rupp Trophy, the SEC Player of the Year and was a First Team All-American
We suspect that this season will end his Elite Period era for DeAndre Jordan, but his advanced stats are much better than his lone All-Star Game Selection reflect.  Still, Jordan will need a lot of help for Springfield enshrinement.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 19.8 (-1.7)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 69.9 (+4.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 22.2 (-5.6)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 5 (-4.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Jordan played at Texas A&M and would win a Gold Medal for the United States in the Olympics
When Andre Iguodala was asked if he was a Hall of Famer, he said no.  The odds are against him, but he is in the conversation more than he gives himself credit for.  While his Elite Period is in the past, his VORP is actually above the average.  The three Titles, the two Gold Medals, but mostly that Finals MVP will always keep Iguodala’s name in the Hall of Fame conversation.  If he compiles and leads over the next few seasons, he could sneak in.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 17.7 (-3.8)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 52.8 (-12.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 28.4 (+0.6)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 3 (+2.21)
  • Additional Notes Iguodala played at the University of Arizona and was a First Team Pac-10 Selection. He would also win a Gold Medal for the United States in the Olympics and in the FIBA World Cup
It is worth noting that he is one (as of this writing) of 88 Players who have over 100 Win Shares and is higher than Carmelo Anthony and Andre Iguodala.  Throw in the three Gold Medals, Defensive Player of the Year and NBA Championship, could a second NBA Championship in a limited role with Houston this year mean that he is a dark horse contender for Springfield?

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 17.5 (-4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 49.7 (-15.4)
  • Elite Period VORP 13.9 (-13.9)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Chandler won a Gold Medal the FIBA World Cup. the Olympics and FIBA Americas Championship for the United States.
Millsap may not have the credentials for the Basketball Hall of Fame, but that change if he has a great season and Denver wins the Championship?  The Nuggets are good, and this is not out of the realm of possibility.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 20.0 (-1.5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 54.7 (-10.4)
  • Elite Period VORP 24.6 (-3.2)
  • All-Star Selections 4 (-3.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Millsap played three years at Louisiana Tech where he was twice a First Team All-WAC Selection and is a three-time NCAA Rebounding Champion
DeMarcus Cousins hasn't had a lot of luck in his career, especially in the last 24 months.  After being injured for much of his run in New Orleans, he signed for a one-year contract with Golden State in a chase for a title, but it didn't go well.  "Boogie" didn't play for much of the season after recovering from an Achilles injury, and when he returned, he wasn't the same All-Star player.  To make matters worse, the Warriors didn't win the NBA Title.  He joined the Los Angeles Lakers in the off-season but is now out with a torn ACL.  He won't be able to do much to help his cause this year.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 23.7 (+2.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 40.6 (-24.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.0 (-6.8)
  • All-Star Selections 4 (-3.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 4 (-5.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Cousins was a Consensus Second Team All-American and was the SEC Rookie of the Year at the University of Kentucky. He also won a Gold Medal in both the Olympics and FIBA World Cup for the United States
After seven years of NBA purgatory in Charlotte, Kemba Walker takes over the Point in Boston.  Barring injury, this should be Walker's best season in terms of wins.  If he continues his improvement, he will increase all Elite Period numbers as he has played seven seasons total.  A fourth All-Star and second All-NBA Selection is necessary for Walker to have a realistic shot for the Hall.  2019-20 is a very crucial season for him on so many levels.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 19.3 (-2.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 48.5 (-16.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 23.2 (-4.6)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Walker played at UConn where he took the Huskies to a 2011 Tournament Win. He would also win the Final Four Most Outstanding Player Award and was a First Team All-American that year
As of this writing, Noah is still looking for work in the NBA, and his career in the premier league of Basketball may be over.  The chances are that the former Defensive Player of the Year won't add anything else to his resume.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.1 (-3.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 52.4 (-12.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 24.7 (-3.1)
  • All-Star Selections 3 (-4.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 2 (-7.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Noah played at the University of Florida where won two NCAA Championships in 2006 & 2007. He also won the Final Four Most Outstanding Player in 2006 and was a Consensus Second Team All-American in 2007. He would also win a Silver Medal for France in the 2011 EuroBasket Tournament
Gobert has played only six seasons so far, thus is in his Elite Period PER by default.  If he replicates what he did last year, Gobert could make the Elite Period Win Shares and Elite Period Weighted All-Pro Selections.  This is phenomenal for a player who is also a two-time Defensive Player of the Year.  Amazingly, he has yet to be in an All-Star Game.  We look for him to have one of the biggest gains on this list.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 21.5
  • Elite Period Win Shares 52.8 (-12.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.0 (-6.8)
  • All-Star Selections 0 (-7.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 3 (-6.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Gobert has won three Bronze Medals for France, two in the World Cup and one in EuroBasket
In a career that has been spent entirely with the Detroit Pistons, Andre Drummond has quietly gone to two All-Star Games and has won three Rebounding Titles.  Drummond's Elite Period Win Shares and VORP should rise as he has played seven years, and his upcoming year should be better than his rookie one.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 22.1 (+0.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 56.4 (-8.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 15.9 (-11.9)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Drummond played one year at the University of Connecticut and won a Gold Medal for the United States in the FIBA World Cup
After 12 seasons with the Memphis Grizzlies, Mike Conley arrives in Utah.  While never an All-Star, he was close to it many times and had good elite period numbers, but will need to elevate his game to another level.  At age 32, that is a tall order.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.8 (-2.7)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 53.2 (-11.9)
  • Elite Period VORP 20.9 (-6.9)
  • All-Star Selections 0 (-7.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Conley played one year at Ohio State where he helped them reach the NCAA Championship Game
Deng is looking for work in the NBA at this moment, so it is safe to state that this Elite Period is long over.  Selfishly, we are hoping that we will see him latch on to an NBA team this year.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 16.0 (-5.5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 46.6 (-18.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 14.6 (-13.2)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Deng played one year at Duke where he took them to a Final Four. He has represented the United Kingdom in the Olympics
Serge Ibaka won his first NBA Championship with the Raptors last year, and he is still a very good player.  Having never been an All-Star hurts Ibaka’s chances, but he is a three-time First Team All-Defensive Selection.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 17.5 (-4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 49.0 (-16.1)
  • Elite Period VORP 12.2 (-15.6)
  • All-Star Selections 0 (-7.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 1 (+0.21)
  • Additional Notes Ibaka, who was born in Congo, plays for Spain. He has won a Silver Medal at the Olympics and a Gold Medal in EuroBasket
With Towns, it feels so familiar in that we have a star Timberwolves player who has to be getting frustrated playing for a team that is going nowhere.  We know this is a player with only four seasons under his belt, so clearly, his seven-year Elite Period stats are going to grow.  Already a two-time All-Star, this is a player that we are going to be watching intensely for the next ten years.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 25.0 (+3.5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 45.4 (-19.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 19.6 (-8.2)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Towns was a Consensus Second Team All-American at the University of Kentucky, and he plays Internationally for the Dominican Republic. He won the Gold once in Centrobasket
When we redo this at the end of the 2019-20 Season, Nikola Jokic could very well be the person who rises the most on this rank.  An awe-inspiring feat for someone who will have only played five seasons by then.  Jokic is a dark horse candidate for the MVP as his Nuggets are for the NBA Championship.  The Joker is on the move!

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 24.8 (+3.3)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 38.9 (-26.2)
  • Elite Period VORP 21.2 (-6.6)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 3 (-6.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Jokic plays Internationally for Serbia and has won a Silver Medal in the Olympics
Injuries have piled up quickly for I.T., but he has time to rebound if his health permits.  This year is critical for Thomas moving forward in far more than just what we type about here.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 20.3 (-1.2)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 45.3 (-19.8)
  • Elite Period VORP 13.9 (-13.9)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 2 (-7.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Thomas played at the University of Washington for three years, and he was a two-time First Team Pac-10 Selection
Beal is coming off the best season of his career, and he could do even better this year.  As he has played seven seasons exactly, we expect that his Elite Period numbers will grow.  There is also a good chance that Beal will make his third straight All-Star this year.  The problem is that he plays for a bad Washington Wizards team, and he does not get as much attention as he should.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 17.1 (-4.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 36.4 (-28.7)
  • Elite Period VORP 12.6 (-15.2)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Beal played one year at the University of Florida and was a First Team All-SEC Selection
Dragic is one of the most underrated players in the game, and he is healthy again.  There are more accomplishments left in his tank.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.1 (-3.4)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 25.5 (-39.6)
  • Elite Period VORP 15.7 (-12.1)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Dragic plays internationally for Slovenia and would win Gold in the 2017 EuroBasket
Nene's career is coming to an end, and he is unlikely to receive Hall of Fame consideration, but his overall career is undoubtedly a good one.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 18.0 (-3.5)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 42.6 (-22.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 15.6 (-12.2)
  • All-Star Selections 0 (-7.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Nene has played many times for Brazil, and won a Silver Medal in the 2001 FIBA AmeriCup
Oladipo was an All-Star the last two years, but as he is not expected to return until January, that streak is likely to end.  He has played only six years, and he should climb this list, though not as much as he is expected to do the year after.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 16.7 (-4.8)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 24.2 (-40.9)
  • Elite Period VORP 10.4 (-17.4)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Oladipo played three years at the University of Indiana. In his last year, he won the Adolph Rupp Award, the Big 10 Player of the Year, was a Consensus First Team All-American and was the Co-Defensive Player of the Year
Hayward is entering his third season with Boston, but he hasn't come close to doing what he did in his last few seasons with Utah.  Hayward was missed his entire first season in Boston due to a broken leg, but his return last year yielded just an average campaign.  He needs to do much better this year to have any realistic Hall of Fame chance.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 16.9 (-4.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 32.6 (-32.5)
  • Elite Period VORP 12.4 (-15.4)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 1 (-8.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Hayward took Butler to the NCAA Final and was a former Horizon League MVP.
While we know that Embiid had only played three seasons in the NBA, his advanced metrics are very strong.  Realistically, is there anyone else below him that could belong here?  Seriously, we will listen.  That is why we have this website!

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 24.5 (+3)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 16.8 (-48.3)
  • Elite Period VORP 6.5 (-21.3)
  • All-Star Selections 2 (-5.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 4 (-5.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Embiid played one year at the University of Kansas and was the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year.
Korver was an All-Star in 2015 and has been an excellent role player for the majority of his career.  He has been in two Finals with the Cavaliers, and he could go to a third with Milwaukee this year.

Stats

  • Elite Period PER 12.9 (-8.6)
  • Elite Period Win Shares 38.0 (-27.1)
  • Elite Period VORP 12.8 (-15)
  • All-Star Selections 1 (-6.4)
  • All-Pro Selections 0 (-9.8)
  • NBA Championships 0 (-0.79)
  • Additional Notes Korver played for Creighton and was a two-time MVC Player of the Year