Our Preseason NFL HOF Monitor is up

Our Preseason NFL HOF Monitor is up
30 Aug
2020
Not in Hall of Fame

Our second annual pre-season Active 150 NFL Player Monitor ranking their current status for future Hall of Fame consideration is now up.  

Our Football Hall of Fame monitor for football looks at the following criteria:

The biggest factor we look at is how each active player measures up to the last five players at their position who were chosen.  To reflect the modern era and how stats have changed, Senior Inductees will not be considered as part of the last five inductees.  To keep everything simple, we are looking at Pro Bowl Selections, First Team All-Pro Selections, traditional statistics, games played and approximate value.  

Obviously, there are other intangibles, such as playoff success, content of character etc. and we have adjusted where we think necessary due to those considerations. 

While we don’t see this as a perfect system, these are the points that people make when determining whether or not someone is a Pro Football Hall of Famer, it does put forth a good baseline for us to work with.

The other criteria we look at is dominating seasons.  We call this the Terrell Davis Rule.  In Davis’ Hall of Fame resume, you see that he was an elite player for three seasons and was the difference maker aiding the Denver Broncos to win their first two Super Bowls.  The induction of Davis and others with similar careers (like Gale Sayers for example) shows that the Pro Football Hall of Fame recognizes bursts of excellence over years of above average consistency.  This will reflect in our ranking as a younger player who may have less accolades than a more tenured one could be ranked higher if he has more years where he was unquestionably an elite player at his position.  

We also have to add the caveat that we will only qualify those who have been chosen via the Modern Era class in the last fifteen years.

For reference, here are the last five Hall of Famers for each position and we have created what we call the Modern Positional Average, the MPA:

Quarterbacks: Troy Aikman, Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Kurt Warner, Steve Young.

Note that three of these QBs (Aikman, Marino & Young) competed in the 1990’s where offensive output is not what it is today.  This is one of the reasons why we are adding Super Bowls and Super Bowl appearances to offset this and since Quarterbacks are graded on that accomplishment more than all other positions combined, it seems appropriate. Please also note that while Quarterbacks are not initially thought of based on their rushing totals, more and more pivots act as a dual threat, and this helps to offset those who aid their offense as much as with their legs as they do with their arm.

200.4 Games, 175.5 Approximate Value, 0.8752 AV/G, 7.4 Pro Bowls, 2.2 First Team All-Pros, 46,122 Passing Yards, 306.6 Touchdown Passes, 1,537.6 Rushing Yards, 15.8 Rushing Touchdowns, 1.6 Super Bowls, 2.6 Super Bowl Appearances.

*Note that this is the same as last year, as no modern era Quarterbacks were inducted in 2020.

Running Backs:  Jerome Bettis, Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Curtis Martin, LaDainian Tomlinson.

151.2 Games, 120.6 Approximate Value, .7976 AV/G, 4.6 Pro Bowls, 2.0 First Team All-Pros, 12,240 Rushing Yards, 89.2 Rushing Touchdowns, 2,839 Receiving Yards, 9.2 Receiving Touchdowns.

*Edgerrin James replaces Marshall Faulk in regards to the last five Running Backs.  This changed the averages from 2019’s: 156.8 Games, 126.4 Approximate Value, .8061 AV/G, 5.2 Pro Bowls, 2.4 First Team All-Pros, 12,266.6 Rushing Yards, 97.2 Rushing Touchdowns, 3,541 Receiving Yards, 14.2 Receiving Touchdowns.

Wide Receivers: Tim Brown, Isaac Bruce, Marvin Harrison, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens.

221 Games, 153.6 Approximate Value, .6950 AV/G, 6.6 Pro Bowls, 2.4 First Team All-Pros, 1,056 Receptions, 15,189 Receiving Yards, 125.6 Receiving Touchdowns.

*Isaac Bruce replaces Andre Reed in regards to the last five Wide Receivers.  This changed the averages from 2019’s: 223.2 Games, 152.8 Approximate Value, .6581 AV/G, 7.2 Pro Bowls, 2.4 First Team All-Pros, 1,041.4 Receptions, 14,787.6 Receiving Yards, 124.8 Receiving Touchdowns

Tight Ends: Tony Gonzalez, Shannon Sharpe.

Please note that there are only two Tight Ends who have been inducted in the last sixteen seasons and we will base the average only on these two players.

237 Games, 126.5 Approximate Value, .5338 AV/G, 11 Pro Bowls, 5 First Team All-Pros, 1,025 Receptions, 12,593.5 Receiving Yards, 86.5 Receiving Touchdowns.

*Note that this is the same as last year, as no modern era Tight Ends were inducted in 2020.

Offensive Linemen: Steve Hutchinson, Walter Jones, Kevin Mawae, Orlando Pace, Will Shields.

196.6 Games, 141.4 Approximate Value, .7192 AV/G, 8.6 Pro Bowls, 3.4 First Team, All-Pros.

*Steve Hutchinson replaces Larry Allen and Jonathan Ogden.  Allen and Ogden entered the Hall of Fame in the same year; hence we used the last six Offensive Linemen as a baseline as opposed to five.  This changed the averages from 2019’s: 223.2 Games, 152.8 Approximate Value, .6581 AV/G, 7.2 Pro Bowls, 2.4 First Team All-Pros.

Defensive Lineman: Chris Doleman, Charles Haley, Cortez Kennedy, Michael Strahan, Jason Taylor.

203.4 Games, 138.8 Approximate Value, .6824 AV/G, 6.8 Pro Bowls, 2.8 First Team All-Pros, 5 Interceptions, 118 Quarterback Sacks, 753.4 Tackles.

*Note that this is the same as last year, as no modern era Defensive Linemen were inducted in 2020.

Linebackers: Derrick Brooks, Kevin Greene, Ray Lewis, Junior Seau Brian Urlacher.

226 Games, 152 Approximate Value, .7699 AV/G, 9.8 Pro Bowls, 4.8 First Team All-Pros, 62.6 Sacks, 1,478.8 Tackles, 20.2 Interceptions.

*Note that this is the same as last year, as no modern era Linebackers were inducted in 2020.

Cornerbacks: Champ Bailey, Ty Law, Ed Reed, Aeneas Williams.

203.5 Games, 146.5 Approximate Value, .7199 AV/G, 8.5 Pro Bowls, 3.5 First Team All-Pros, 53.5 Interceptions, 770.3 Tackles.

*Note that in 2019, all Defensive Backs were grouped together, and were Champ Bailey, Brian Dawkins, Ty Law, Ed Reed and Aeneas Williams. Now, Cornerbacks and Safeties are separated.  We are only using four for both Corners and Safeties to keep everything relatively modern.  Last year’s composite for Defensive Backs were 202.6 Games, 134 Approximate Value, 0.6614 AV/G, 8.8 Pro Bowls 3.4 First Team All-Pros, 48 Interceptions and 861.8 Tackles.

Safeties: Steve Atwater, Brian Dawkins, Troy Polamalu, Ed Reed.

180.8 Games, 130.5 Approximate Value, .7218 AV/G, 8.5 Pro Bowls, 3.8 First Team All-Pros, 39.3 Interceptions, 925.3 Tackles.

*Note that in 2019, all Defensive Backs were grouped together, and were Champ Bailey, Brian Dawkins, Ty Law, Ed Reed and Aeneas Williams. Now, Cornerbacks and Safeties are separated.  We are only using four for both Corners and Safeties to keep everything relatively modern. Last year’s composite for Defensive Backs were 202.6 Games, 134 Approximate Value, 0.6614 AV/G, 8.8 Pro Bowls 3.4 First Team All-Pros, 48 Interceptions and 861.8 Tackles.

Note that over the last sixteen years, there was only one Place Kicker and Punter and no Special Teamers, thus we elected not to feature that average and input based on our elective opinion.

This list is based on the beginning of the 2020 Season:

Any asterisk in front of a statistic indicates that this metric exceeds the average.

Please remember that this list is based on accomplishments and not necessarily future potential.  Think of it as where they stand if their career ended today, with a partial look at where they are trending.  

Tagged under
Committee Chairman

Kirk Buchner, "The Committee Chairman", is the owner and operator of the site.  Kirk can be contacted at [email protected] . Email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

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