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The Roger Clemens Debate: 2015



This is the fourth of our series where we here at Notinhalloffame.com, do what else?  Debate the merit of twenty-four men on the most loaded Baseball Hall of Fame ballot in our lifetime.

Joining me, the site's Committee Chairman, in this debate are D.K. of the site's Phillies Archivist blog and Darryl Tahirali of the site's DDT's Pop Flies blog.  This looks to be a very important part of our site, and we hope you will enjoy reading this as much as we enjoyed writing it.

Chairman:  It seems so fitting that as we do this alphabetically by last name, we have Roger Clemens after Bonds, (#2 to #1 on the current rank) and almost everything you can say about Bonds in terms of the current vote, you just look at Clemens and say “Ditto”.  Like Barry, The Rocket is on his third vote after seeing his support fall roughly two points (37.6 to 35.4) and while I think that someday these guys will get some kind of forgiveness, I just don’t see it this year; especially when Clemens’ likeability factor is a number similar to Minnesota winter…in Celsius.  I will add this; I could see his vote percentage dip below 35. 

Darryl:  Two votes are not enough to venture a trend, and the same goes for the minor fluctuations both Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens have experienced in those two vote totals.  However, I agree that the PEDs taint will most likely keep players with material evidence of it out of the Hall of Fame for some time. Look at Rafael Palmeiro—he's already off the ballot.  How many hitters have ever combined 3000 or more hits with 500 or more home runs, as he did?  Only three: Hank Aaron, Willie Mays, and Eddie Murray, and all three were first-ballot inductees.  Palmeiro's dropping off the ballot was the line in the sand—no matter how good your record was, if the voters think it was ill-gotten, you are not getting in.  Which brings up the whole question of whether we're looking at a Hall of Morality and not a Hall of Baseball Talent, but I'll save that bullet for another time.

As far as likeability goes, my flippant answer is, who cares?  The Hall is full of unsavory and/or unlikable characters—Ty Cobb, Rogers Hornsby, and the great majority of any 19th-century player you can name—with the flip-side being that gee-whiz nice guys such as Gil Hodges and Dale Murphy have yet to see their likeability push their borderline cases across the threshold.  That may change this year, though, as I strongly suspect that Hodges will be voted in by the Golden Era Committee.

D.K.:  Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Mark McGwire.

Bonds: all-time career homer mark with 763 plus season record holder with 73. Had over 2,900 hits.  Clemens third most strikeouts all-time and third most Post world War Two wins being Spahn and Maddux.  McGwire broke Roger Maris’ home run in a season record that stood for nearly a half-century.

Despite these noteworthy accomplishments - It doesn’t matter what I think -  it’s what the writers think.  With heavily suspected PED use, whether proven or unproven some writers are never going to give any of these candidates their vote - EVER!

Chairman:  First off…Darryl, are you really mentioning Gil Hodges here?  In the infancy of this site, I thought I had to ban someone over that entry (and no worries, it was never going to be you) over his defiant stance of the former Dodger.  Incidentally, I am sure like me you were shocked by his (3 or under) on the Golden Era Vote just announced. 

(Chairman’s Tangent)  Seriously Hall of Fame, why can’t we get exact vote totals like we do in the writer’s ballot?  Was it 3, was it 2, was it 1 or a goose egg?  If you are going to be transparent about votes, do it across the board! (end tangent)

Let me throw this personal memory from the mid-80’s when my cousin and I went to Exhibition Stadium in Toronto shortly after Clemens struck out 20 batters for the BoSox and having a conversation with a vendor about the Rocket and how this was a must watch game.  That for me means something about the Hall of Fame, in that was a player a must watch.  Whatever era we are talking about with Roger, he was always “must watch”.  That should mean something right?  At every stage of his career, this guy was must watch T.V.

Darryl:  Regarding Gil Hodges, well, I mentioned him only in passing.  But as for the overzealous fan--hey, I like colorful street people who tell me that I'm going to hell if I don't accept Christ as my personal savior, or that NASA faked the moon landings, as long as they don't follow me home or ask me for too much money.  Frankly, though, and even though I thought Hodges would get voted in this time, I'm more shocked that Maury Wills got nine votes. And it is curious that vote totals below three are never given.  The only thing I can think of is that revealing the exact number could show that one or more voters did not use all four of his votes, although why that should matter I don't know.

Maybe if a candidate did not get any votes, it would be embarrassing for him, or it could prejudice future votes.  Who knows?

As far as Clemens goes, yes, he was definitely must-watch, and that is one of the marks of Hall of Fame players, particularly when their numbers back them up. In my write-up on Clemens for 2013, I did crunch the numbers from before he was suspected of using PEDs, and he did have a Hall of Fame case, albeit a borderline one.  He was a must-watch guy from the start.

D.K.:  Clemens shot himself in the foot with his suspected PED use.  He had great numbers: (#3 in strikeouts all-time), 3rd in Post-World War Two wins behind Warren Spahn and Greg Maddux, 2nd behind Maddux in Wins in the last 50 years, but they are all for naught.  The writers that covered him, bestowing unending accolades on him during his career and singing his praises now feel betrayed and cheated that for a good part of his career Clemens may have had some “chemical help”.

We’re not going to see a relenting on the part of the writers who withhold their votes for Clemens and other suspected ‘chemical cheaters’ any time soon.

Chairman:  I think we all agree the Rocket isn’t getting into Cooperstown anytime soon, but I am casting my fictional ballot to him, right behind my support of Barry. 

Darryl: Yes.

D.K.:  Call me a grudge holder, but when I think of the big deals his teams made out of the milestones he reached, particularly the Yankees in 2003 when

Clemens reached both the 300 Wins and 4,000 strikeouts marks, if he was secretly getting chemical help all that time, it makes me feel somewhat I’ve been led down the Yellow Brick Road by “The man behind the curtain”.  -  (That was a 1939 or 1940 reference, but I you want a more recent one, you only have to go back to 1977 or 1978 when Johnny Rotten of The Sex Pistols said to the concert audience after a particularly mediocre live rendition of one of their songs  “Did you ever get the feeling that you were being cheated?” - I vote NO.


Last modified on Thursday, 19 March 2015 18:48
Committee Chairman

Kirk Buchner, "The Committee Chairman", is the owner and operator of the site.  Kirk can be contacted at [email protected] .

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