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IF I HAD A VOTE IN THE 2013 BASEBALL HALL OF FAME ELECTION, PART 2: THE EVALUATIONS

Category: DDT's Pop Flies Created on Wednesday, 02 January 2013 22:56 Written by Darryl Tahirali Hits: 1099

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In Part 1 of this two-part series, we examined in detail the two salient qualities of the 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot: It is a ballot overstuffed with not just candidates—37 players!—but with qualified candidates, and it is a referendum on performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs) because of the presence of the two most dominant players of the last 20 years: Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens.

Part 2 concentrates solely on the merits of all 37 players on the ballot. With respect to PEDs, they are part of the sometimes-tawdry, sometimes-laudatory history of baseball, and the witch-hunt mentality surrounding them has obscured the fact that no part of baseball history has ever been pure or pristine. In short, there is no stigma here regarding PEDs. They are a part of baseball history as much as institutional racism marked the game before 1947, as much as allegations of widespread amphetamine usage marked the game during the "Golden Era" of the 1950s and 1960s, and as much as Gaylord Perry marked his baseball before he threw it.

The bottom line is this: You evaluate the baseball you have, not the baseball you wish you had.

Candidates for the 2013 Hall of Fame Ballot

The following two tables list the 37 candidates on the 2013 ballot, first the 27 position players, and then the 10 pitchers. They are ranked by their career Wins Above Replacement from Baseball Reference (bWAR) along with other representative qualitative statistics (explained below each table).

Here are the 27 position players on the 2013 Hall of Fame ballot, ranked by bWAR.

Position Players on the 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot, Ranked by bWAR
Position Player

 Slash Line

 bWAR

 fWAR

 OPS+

 wRC+
Bonds, Barry

 .298/.444/.607

 158.1

 168.0

 182

 172
Bagwell, Jeff

 .297/.408/.540

 76.7

 83.9

 149

 149
Walker, Larry

 .313/.400/.565

 69.7

 73.2

 141

 141
Trammell, Alan

 .285/.352/.415

 67.1

 69.5

 110

 111
Raines, Tim

 .294/.385/.425

 66.2

 70.6

 123

 126
Palmeiro, Rafael

 .288/.371/.515

 66.1

 74.2

 132

 130
Lofton, Kenny

 .299/.372/.423

 64.9

 66.2

 107

 110
Martinez, Edgar

 .312/.418/.515

 64.4

 69.9

 147

 148
Biggio, Craig

 .281/.363/.433

 62.1

 70.5

 112

 115
McGwire, Mark

 .263/.394/.588

 58.7

 70.6

 163

 157
Piazza, Mike

 .308/.377/.545

 56.1

 66.8

 143

 141
Sosa, Sammy

 .273/.344/.534

 54.8

 64.1

 128

 123
McGriff, Fred

 .284/.377/.509

 48.2

 61.0

 134

 134
Williams, Bernie

 .297/.381/.477

 45.9

 47.5

 125

 126
Murphy, Dale

 .265/.346/.469

 42.6

 47.3

 121

 120
Finley, Steve

 .271/.332/.442

 40.4

 44.2

 104

 104
Mattingly, Don

 .307/.358/.471

 39.8

 45.8

 127

 124
Franco, Julio

 .298/.365/.417

 39.7

 48.6

 111

 112
Sanders, Reggie

 .267/.343/.487

 36.7

 41.8

 115

 115
Cirillo, Jeff

 .296/.366/.430

 32.0

 36.4

 102

 104
Green, Shawn

 .283/.355/.494

 31.4

 34.9

 120

 118
White, Rondell

 .284/.336/.462

 25.5

 26.2

 108

 108
Klesko, Ryan

 .279/.370/.500

 24.6

 32.7

 128

 127
Clayton, Royce

 .258/.312/.367

 16.4

 21.7

 78

 76
Conine, Jeff

 .285/.347/.443

 16.2

 24.4

 107

 107
Alomar, Jr., Sandy

 .273/.309/.406

 11.6

 15.7

 86

 85
Walker, Todd

 .289/.348/.435

 8.3

 11.5

 98

 98
 

Slash Line: Grouping of the player's career batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

bWAR: Career Wins Above Replacement as calculated by Baseball Reference.

fWAR: Career Wins Above Replacement as calculated by FanGraphs.

OPS+: Career on-base percentage plus slugging percentage, league- and park-adjusted, as calculated by Baseball Reference. Positively indexed to 100, with a 100 OPS+ indicating a league-average player, and values above 100 indicating the degrees better a player is than a league-average player.

wRC+: Career weighted Runs Created, league- and park-adjusted, as calculated by FanGraphs. Positively indexed to 100, with a 100 wRC+ indicating a league-average player, and values above 100 indicating the degrees better a player is than a league-average player.

 

Here are the 10 pitchers on the 2013 Hall of Fame ballot, ranked by bWAR.

Pitchers on the 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot, Ranked by bWAR
Pitcher

 W-L (S), ERA

 bWAR

 fWAR

 ERA+

 ERA-
Clemens, Roger

 354-184, 3.12

 133.1

 145.5

 143

 70
Schilling, Curt

 216-146, 3.46

 76.9

 86.1

 127

 80
Wells, David

 239-157, 4.13

 49.4

 61.2

 108

 93
Morris, Jack

 254-186, 3.90

 39.3

 56.9

 105

 95
Smith, Lee

 71-92 (478), 3.03

 27.9

 29.0

 132

 73
Williams, Woody

 132-116, 4.19

 25.0

 19.8

 103

 97
Sele, Aaron

 148-112, 4.61

 17.2

 33.6

 100

 99
Hernandez, Roberto

 67-71 (326), 3.45

 17.2

 15.2

 131

 77
Stanton, Mike

 68-63 (84), 3.92

 12.6

 13.7

 112

 90
Mesa, Jose

 80-109 (321), 4.36

 9.5

 13.5

 100

 100
 

W-L (S), ERA: Grouping of the pitcher's career win-loss record (and career saves, if applicable) and career earned run average (ERA).

bWAR: Career Wins Above Replacement as calculated by Baseball Reference.

fWAR: Career Wins Above Replacement as calculated by FanGraphs.

ERA+: Career ERA, league- and park-adjusted, as calculated by Baseball Reference. Positively indexed to 100, with a 100 ERA+ indicating a league-average pitcher, and values above 100 indicating the degrees better a pitcher is than a league-average pitcher.

ERA-: Career ERA, league- and park-adjusted, as calculated by FanGraphs. Negatively indexed to 100, with a 100 ERA- indicating a league-average pitcher, and values below 100 indicating the degrees better a pitcher is than a league-average pitcher.

 

The table below combines both position players and pitchers into a ranking by bWAR.

All 2013 Hall of Fame Candidates, Ranked by bWAR
Rank

 Player

 bWAR

 fWAR
1

 Bonds, Barry

 158.1

 168.0
2

 Clemens, Roger

 133.1

 145.5
3

 Schilling, Curt

 76.9

 86.1
4

 Bagwell, Jeff

 76.7

 83.9
5

 Walker, Larry

 69.7

 73.2
6

 Trammell, Alan

 67.1

 69.5
7

 Raines, Tim

 66.2

 70.6
8

 Palmeiro, Rafael

 66.1

 74.2
9

 Lofton, Kenny

 64.9

 66.2
10

 Martinez, Edgar

 64.4

 69.9
11

 Biggio, Craig

 62.1

 70.5
12

 McGwire, Mark

 58.7

 70.6
13

 Piazza, Mike

 56.1

 66.8
14

 Sosa, Sammy

 54.8

 64.1
15

 Wells, David

 49.4

 61.2
16

 McGriff, Fred

 48.2

 61.0
17

 Williams, Bernie

 45.9

 47.5
18

 Murphy, Dale

 42.6

 47.3
19

 Finley, Steve

 40.4

 44.2
20

 Mattingly, Don

 39.8

 45.8
21

 Franco, Julio

 39.7

 48.6
22

 Morris, Jack

 39.3

 56.9
23

 Sanders, Reggie

 36.7

 41.8
24

 Cirillo, Jeff

 32.0

 36.4
25

 Green, Shawn

 31.4

 34.9
26

 Smith, Lee

 27.9

 29.0
27

 White, Rondell

 25.5

 26.2
28

 Williams, Woody

 25.0

 19.8
29

 Klesko, Ryan

 24.6

 32.7
30

 Sele, Aaron

 17.2

 33.6
31

 Hernandez, Roberto

 17.2

 15.2
32

 Clayton, Royce

 16.4

 21.7
33

 Conine, Jeff

 16.2

 24.4
34

 Stanton, Mike

 12.6

 13.7
35

 Alomar, Jr., Sandy

 11.6

 15.7
36

 Mesa, Jose

 9.5

 13.5
37

 Walker, Todd

 8.3

 11.5

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